|

USD Index depreciates on dovish tone surrounding Fed’s rates trajectory, clings to 104.20

  • US Dollar Index extends its losses after mixed key figures from the United States.
  • US ISM Services PMI fell to 51.4; ADP Employment Change added 184K in March.
  • Fed’s Powell stated that interest rate is likely at its peak in the current cycle.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the value of the US Dollar (USD) against the six major currencies, remains in the negative territory for the third successive day, hovering around 104.20 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Greenback faced challenges due to the dovish tone surrounding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rates trajectory.

Investors across the Atlantic have fully priced in a 25-basis point cut by the Federal Reserve in July. On Wednesday, US ADP Employment Change survey showed that the private sector added 184K new positions in March, surpassing February's rise of 155K and exceeding the market consensus of 148K, highlighting the labor market’s resilience. Meanwhile, the US ISM Services PMI fell to 51.4 from 52.6 in February, falling short of the expected level of 52.7.

In his remarks at the Stanford Graduate School of Business, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated once again that the policy rate is likely at its peak in the current cycle. He stated the US central bank's readiness to implement rate cuts, emphasizing a data-dependent approach.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also advocated for a rate cut in the final quarter of 2024. Adriana Kugler, a member of the Fed Board of Governors, emphasized that the ongoing disinflationary trend would require rate reductions, with expectations of at least three cuts by the last quarter of this year.

Market participants are closely monitoring the release of US labor data, with Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on March 29 scheduled for Thursday, and Average Hourly Earnings and Nonfarm Payrolls data set to be released on Friday.

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price104.2
Today Daily Change-0.05
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open104.25
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.8
Daily SMA50103.89
Daily SMA100103.37
Daily SMA200103.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.84
Previous Daily Low104.23
Previous Weekly High104.73
Previous Weekly Low104.01
Previous Monthly High104.73
Previous Monthly Low102.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.61
Daily Pivot Point S1104.04
Daily Pivot Point S2103.83
Daily Pivot Point S3103.42
Daily Pivot Point R1104.65
Daily Pivot Point R2105.05
Daily Pivot Point R3105.26

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.