USD/CNH looks bearish below 6.5150 – UOB

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

Extra weakness in USD/CNH is likely below the 6.5150 level, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Last Friday, we noted that ‘the current movement is viewed as part of a consolidation and USD is likely to trade between 6.5200 and 6.5400’. Our view was not wrong even though USD traded within a narrower range than expected (6.5208/1.6367). Neutral momentum indicators suggest that USD could continue to consolidate, expected to be within a 6.5210/6.5410 range.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Our latest narrative was from last Thursday (15 Apr, spot at 6.5320) where we indicated that ‘rapid improvement in downward momentum is expected to lead to further USD weakness even though 6.5000 may not come into the picture so soon’. USD subsequently traded in a quiet manner and downward momentum is beginning to wane. For now, we continue to hold the same view but USD has to move and stay below 6.5150 within these couple of days or the odds for further USD weakness would diminish quickly. On the upside, a breach of 6.5530 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the downside risk has dissipated.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

EUR/USD looks sidelined around 1.1850

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, extending its bearish tone and sliding towards the 1.1850 area to print fresh daily lows on Monday. The move lower comes as the US Dollar gathers modest traction, with thin liquidity and subdued volatility amplifying price swings amid the US market holiday.

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold battle around $5,000 continues

Gold is giving back part of Friday’s sharp rebound, deflating below the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce as the new week gets underway. Modest gains in the US Dollar are keeping the metal in check, while thin trading conditions, due to the Presidents Day holiday in the US, are adding to the choppy and hesitant tone across markets.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.