USD/CHF surrenders 0.9160 as Fed policy misses hawkish guidance, SNB policy eyed


  • USD/CHF has dropped below the 0.9160 support as Fed has come closer to the terminal rate.
  • Fed Powell remained softer on interest rate guidance citing “some additional policy firming may be appropriate”.
  • The interest rate decision for SNB Jordan would be incredibly difficult, which is still dealing with the Credit Suisse mess.

The USD/CHF pair has slipped below the immediate support of 0.9160 in the Asian session. The Swiss franc asset has retreated after a recovery attempt to near 0.9180 as the commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell in his monetary policy statement indicates that the central bank is close to reaching the terminal rate.

After hiking interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) consecutively to 4.75-5.00%, Fed Powell remained softer on interest rate guidance citing “some additional policy firming may be appropriate”.

Dovish guidance on interest rates has weighed heavily on the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has dropped after a short-lived recovery and is expected to continue its downside journey.

S&P500 futures are showing some gains after a sell-off on Wednesday, however, the appeal for US equities is still weak. Investors seem dissatisfied from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's commentary that the government "is not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits," The rollback of assurance has receded confidence among investors.

Meanwhile, the demand for US government bonds has soared as tight credit conditions from the banks for households and businesses after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank would result in cooling demand and inflation.

Thursday’s session is going to remain extremely volatile as investors are awaiting the interest rate decision from the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Analysts from ING cited “Our baseline scenario remains a 50 bps rate hike, but the probability of this has seriously diminished, and neither the status quo nor a 25 bps hike can be ruled out. Unlike the ECB, the SNB has not pre-announced anything, so it is freer in its choices.”

The decision is likely to be incredibly difficult for SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan, which is still managing the Credit Suisse mess.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9158
Today Daily Change -0.0016
Today Daily Change % -0.17
Today daily open 0.9174
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9312
Daily SMA50 0.9257
Daily SMA100 0.9343
Daily SMA200 0.9536
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9246
Previous Daily Low 0.9147
Previous Weekly High 0.9342
Previous Weekly Low 0.9072
Previous Monthly High 0.9429
Previous Monthly Low 0.9059
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9185
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9208
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9132
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.909
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9034
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9231
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9288
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9329

 

 

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