|

USD/CHF rebounds near 0.8760 as US Dollar improves before Fed decision

  • USD/CHF halts a two-day losing streak ahead of Fed policy decision.
  • SNB is widely anticipated to hold its interest rate at 1.75% following the recent downbeat inflation.
  • Investors await Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments to gain insights into the interest rates trajectory.

USD/CHF hovers around 0.8760 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday, snapping two days of losses as the US Dollar improves on upbeat US bond yields. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is anticipated to keep its policy rate steady at 1.75% in Thursday’s meeting, particularly in light of the recent easing of Swiss inflation in November.

The upcoming Monetary Policy Assessment in the Quarterly Bulletin will offer valuable insights into the SNB's outlook, providing a medium-term conditional inflation forecast.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) moves on an upward trajectory, approaching the 104.00 level, supported by higher yields on both the 2-year and 10-year US bond coupons, standing at 4.73% and 4.20%, respectively, by the press time.

The cautious approach of market participants ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision indeed introduces an element of uncertainty that could potentially exert downward pressure on the Greenback, consequently impacting the USD/CHF pair. While the expectation is for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to maintain its current policy stance, the focus on cues regarding potential rate cuts in 2024 adds a layer of intrigue for investors.

The significance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments becomes even more pronounced, as they hold the potential to shape market expectations and influence movements of the USD/CHF pair.

The US Dollar's recent bout of high volatility, fueled by the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, reflects the market's reaction to the 3.1% year-on-year increase, as expected in November against the 3.2% readings previously. The parallel uptick in the US Core CPI at 4.0% aligns with market expectations, indicating a degree of predictability in inflation trends.

As market participants await the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for November, the focus shifts to expectations of a growth reduction to 1.0% yearly. Projections for an easing Core PPI at 2.2%, compared to the 2.4% prior, add another layer to the market's anticipation.

USD/CHF: additional levels to watch

Overview
Today last price0.8762
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open0.8754
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8796
Daily SMA500.8928
Daily SMA1000.8905
Daily SMA2000.8946
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8787
Previous Daily Low0.8722
Previous Weekly High0.8821
Previous Weekly Low0.8667
Previous Monthly High0.9113
Previous Monthly Low0.8685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8747
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8762
Daily Pivot Point S10.8722
Daily Pivot Point S20.869
Daily Pivot Point S30.8657
Daily Pivot Point R10.8786
Daily Pivot Point R20.8819
Daily Pivot Point R30.8851

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.