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USD/CHF rebounds from multi-week lows, back above mid-0.9100s amid stronger USD

  • USD/CHF gained some positive traction on Monday and snapped two days of the losing streak.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations acted as a tailwind for the USD and provided a modest lift to the pair.
  • COVID-19 jitters might underpin the safe-haven CHF and cap any meaningful gains for the major.

The USD/CHF pair built on its steady intraday bounce from over three-week lows and climbed to daily tops, around the 0.9160-65 region during the first half of the European session.

The pair attracted some buying on the first day of a new trading week and for now, seems to have stalled its recent sharp pullback from near three-month tops touched earlier this July. This marked the first day of a positive move in the previous three sessions and was sponsored by a goodish pickup in the US dollar demand.

Expectations that the Fed is moving closer to tighten its monetary policy stance sooner assisted the USD to regain some positive traction on Monday. It is worth recalling that the June FOMC meeting minutes released last Wednesday revealed that Fed officials agreed on the need to be ready to act if inflation or other risks materialize.

Hence, the market focus will remain on the latest US consumer inflation figures, due on Tuesday. Apart from this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's semi-annual congressional testimony on Wednesday and Thursday will be looked upon for clues about the US central bank's policy outlook, which will influence the USD price dynamics in the near term.

Meanwhile, the supporting factor, to a larger extent, was offset by concerns about the economic fallout from the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant of the coronavirus. This was evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, which might underpin the safe-haven Swiss franc and cap gains for the USD/CHF pair.

Moreover, there isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release from the US. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bullish traders and makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further appreciating move for the USD/CHF pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9157
Today Daily Change0.0017
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open0.914
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9174
Daily SMA500.9076
Daily SMA1000.9157
Daily SMA2000.9071
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9175
Previous Daily Low0.9136
Previous Weekly High0.9268
Previous Weekly Low0.9133
Previous Monthly High0.9262
Previous Monthly Low0.8926
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9151
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.916
Daily Pivot Point S10.9125
Daily Pivot Point S20.9111
Daily Pivot Point S30.9086
Daily Pivot Point R10.9165
Daily Pivot Point R20.919
Daily Pivot Point R30.9204

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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