|

USD/CHF rebound swiftly from 0.8900 mark after SNB’s expected 25 bps rate hike

  • USD/CHF attracts some intraday buyers after the SNB announced its policy decision.
  • The expected 25 bps lift-off and the lack of fresh hawkish signals weigh on the CHF.
  • A modest USD uptick remains support, albeit the Fed rate-hike uncertainty caps gains.

The USD/CHF pair rallies nearly 50 pips after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) announced its policy decision and touches a fresh daily, around the 0.8950 region during the early European session on Thursday.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) weakens across the board after the SNB, as was widely expected, decided to increase its benchmark sight deposit interest rate by 25 bps, from 1.50% to 1.75%. This marks the fifth successive interest rate hike, though the lack of fresh hawkish signals reaffirms expectations that the SNB will be on hold for at least the rest of the year. Apart from this, a modest US Dollar (USD) strength prompts some intraday short-covering around the USD/CHF pair.

The USD uptick, however, lacks bullish conviction in the wake of the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate hike path. In fact, a duo of Fed officials on Wednesday called for more patience on rate hikes to allow the tightening delivered so far to filter through the economy. Moreover, Fed Chair Jerome Powell sounded less hawkish during his testimony before the House Financial Services Committee and said that it may make sense to raise rates at a more moderate pace.

Powell, however, added that the fight against inflation still has a long way to go and despite a pause in interest rate hikes last week, officials agreed borrowing costs would likely need to move higher. This, in turn, helps limit the downside for the USD and acts as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that spot prices have formed a near-term bottom and positioning for any further gains.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8912
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open0.8931
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.903
Daily SMA500.8978
Daily SMA1000.9103
Daily SMA2000.933
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8998
Previous Daily Low0.892
Previous Weekly High0.9109
Previous Weekly Low0.8902
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.895
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8968
Daily Pivot Point S10.8901
Daily Pivot Point S20.8871
Daily Pivot Point S30.8822
Daily Pivot Point R10.898
Daily Pivot Point R20.9028
Daily Pivot Point R30.9058

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.