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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Collapses below 20/50-DMAs once bears moved in at the 100-DMA

  • USD/CHF extended its drop past the 20/50-day EMAs after facing resistance at the 200-day EMA.
  • USD/CHF Price Forecast: Shifted bearish, though needs to crack 0.9130s to test YTD lows.

USD/CHF falls below the confluence of the 20 and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), extending its daily losses to more than 1% Friday. A mixed US jobs report weighed on the US Dollar (USD). Sentiment deteriorates on a US bank collapse, which could have spillover in the country. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9216.

USD/CHF Price Action

After dropping below the intersection of the 20 and 50-day EMAs, the USD/CHF shifted downwards. During the day, the pair reached a multi-week low of around 0.9174 before buyers stepped in and lifted the price above the 0.9200 figure.

With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turning bearish and the Rate of Change (RoC) showing that sellers are gathering momentum, the USD/CHF path of least resistance is downwards.

That said, the USD/CHF pair's first support would be the 0.9200 figure. Once broken, the pair would test the March 10 low at 0.9174, followed by the February 14 swing low at 0.9140. A breach of the latter will expose the 0.9100 figure, followed by the YTD low at 0.9059.

In an alternate scenario, if the USD/CHF reclaims 0.9300, that would keep the bulls hopeful for testing the 0.9400 figure. However, buyers must conquer the 50 and 20-day EMAs at 0.9311 and 0.9319.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9214
Today Daily Change-0.0125
Today Daily Change %-1.34
Today daily open0.9339
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.932
Daily SMA500.9267
Daily SMA1000.941
Daily SMA2000.9563
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.942
Previous Daily Low0.9338
Previous Weekly High0.944
Previous Weekly Low0.9342
Previous Monthly High0.9429
Previous Monthly Low0.9059
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9369
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9388
Daily Pivot Point S10.9311
Daily Pivot Point S20.9284
Daily Pivot Point S30.923
Daily Pivot Point R10.9393
Daily Pivot Point R20.9447
Daily Pivot Point R30.9475

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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