|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Collapses below 20/50-DMAs once bears moved in at the 100-DMA

  • USD/CHF extended its drop past the 20/50-day EMAs after facing resistance at the 200-day EMA.
  • USD/CHF Price Forecast: Shifted bearish, though needs to crack 0.9130s to test YTD lows.

USD/CHF falls below the confluence of the 20 and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), extending its daily losses to more than 1% Friday. A mixed US jobs report weighed on the US Dollar (USD). Sentiment deteriorates on a US bank collapse, which could have spillover in the country. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9216.

USD/CHF Price Action

After dropping below the intersection of the 20 and 50-day EMAs, the USD/CHF shifted downwards. During the day, the pair reached a multi-week low of around 0.9174 before buyers stepped in and lifted the price above the 0.9200 figure.

With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turning bearish and the Rate of Change (RoC) showing that sellers are gathering momentum, the USD/CHF path of least resistance is downwards.

That said, the USD/CHF pair's first support would be the 0.9200 figure. Once broken, the pair would test the March 10 low at 0.9174, followed by the February 14 swing low at 0.9140. A breach of the latter will expose the 0.9100 figure, followed by the YTD low at 0.9059.

In an alternate scenario, if the USD/CHF reclaims 0.9300, that would keep the bulls hopeful for testing the 0.9400 figure. However, buyers must conquer the 50 and 20-day EMAs at 0.9311 and 0.9319.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9214
Today Daily Change-0.0125
Today Daily Change %-1.34
Today daily open0.9339
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.932
Daily SMA500.9267
Daily SMA1000.941
Daily SMA2000.9563
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.942
Previous Daily Low0.9338
Previous Weekly High0.944
Previous Weekly Low0.9342
Previous Monthly High0.9429
Previous Monthly Low0.9059
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9369
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9388
Daily Pivot Point S10.9311
Daily Pivot Point S20.9284
Daily Pivot Point S30.923
Daily Pivot Point R10.9393
Daily Pivot Point R20.9447
Daily Pivot Point R30.9475

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1500 despite ECB rate hike

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and declines toward 1.1500 in the American session on Thursday. Although the European Central Bank raised key rates by 25 bps after the June meeting, the pair struggles to hold its ground as US President Donald Trump's renewed threat to hit Iran weighs on sentiment and supports the US Dollar.

GBP/USD extends slide below 1.3350 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD is falling below the 1.3350 level in the American session on Thursday. Increased hawkish Fed bets and looming Mideast geopolitical risks sponsor the latest leg up in the US Dollar, particularly after the Producer Price Index jumped to 6.5% YoY in May.

Gold challenges fresh 2025 lows below $4,100

Gold struggles to stage a rebound and trades below $4,100 in the American session on Thursday. Mixed producer inflation data from the US and a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East don't allow the precious metal to shake off the bearish pressure.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound broadens despite continued US-Iran strikes

Bitcoin steadies its recovery on Thursday, edging higher toward $63,000 despite incessant capital outflows. Meanwhile, altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, exhibit subtle rebound signs, trading above $1,650 and $1.12, respectively.

Indonesia surprise rate hike may not be enough to save the Rupiah

The surprise rate hike from Bank Indonesia, aimed at protecting the Indonesian Rupiah from sliding further, seems to have worked for now. The rate increase definitely helps, but there’s more work to do if Jakarta wants to ease investors’ concerns for good.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.