USD/CHF Price Analysis: Aims to recapture three-month high around 0.8900


  • USD/CHF focuses on recapturing the crucial resistance of 0.8900 amid a risk-off mood.
  • Fed Powell would provide fresh guidance on the interest rate outlook.
  • The term of SNB Jordan will be over in the second half of this year.

The USD/CHF pair rises slightly above 0.8850 in Tuesday’s European session as investors turn cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Wednesday and the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data later this week.

The Swiss Franc asset extends its upside as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounds from two-day low around 103.70. Fed Powell's commentary and the February labor market data will provide fresh insights about when the Fed will start reducing interest rates.

The Swiss Franc fails to find buying interest despite the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) remaining stickier than expectations in February. The monthly CPI rose strongly by 0.6% against 0.2% in January. The monthly pace was significantly higher than required to keep inflation below 2%. The annual CPI at 1.2% was higher than expectations of 1.1% but lower than the prior reading of 1.3%.

Meanwhile, it is announced that the SNB is looking for the successor of Chairman Thomas J. Jordan. The new SNB Chairman will be announced in the second half of this year.

USD/CHF falls while attempting to deliver a breakout of the consolidation formed in a range of 0.8744-0.8898 on a four-hour timeframe. A mild sell-off near the upper end of the consolidation doesn’t indicate a reversal but indicates that US Dollar bulls need more force for a decisive break. The consolidation pattern indicates a sharp volatility contraction. A breakout in the same will result in a volatility expansion, leading to wider ticks and heavy volume.

The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 0.8822 continues to support the US Dollar bulls.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbs above 60.00. A bullish momentum would emerge if the RSI (14) manages to sustain above the same.

Fresh upside would emerge if the asset breaks above the three-month high around 0.8900, which would unlock upside towards September 20 low at 0.8932 and November 8 low at 0.8976.

On the contrary, a breakdown below February 13 low at 0.8746 would expose the asset to the round-level support of 0.8700, followed by February 1 high around 0.8650.

USD/CHF four-hour chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.8855
Today Daily Change 0.0007
Today Daily Change % 0.08
Today daily open 0.8848
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.8799
Daily SMA50 0.8662
Daily SMA100 0.8756
Daily SMA200 0.8831
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.8864
Previous Daily Low 0.8806
Previous Weekly High 0.8893
Previous Weekly Low 0.8779
Previous Monthly High 0.8886
Previous Monthly Low 0.8553
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8842
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8828
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8815
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8781
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8756
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8873
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8898
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8932

 

 

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