|

USD/CHF nears overbought conditions ahead of SNB and Fed meetings

  • USD/CHF continued stepping forward and rose near 0.8988.
  • SNB meets on Thursday, and markets expect a 25 bps hike.
  • The US reported mixed Housing data from August. US Yields recover.

On Tuesday, the USD/CHF continued gaining ground, increasing to 0.8980, and already tallied a 1.60% monthly gain. On the one hand, the Swiss National Bank is expected to deliver its last rate hike from this tightening cycle to 2%, while the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cycle isn’t done yet.

In line with that, the Federal Open Market Committee (Fed), two-meeting kicked off on Tuesday and ended on Wednesday with the announcement of the monetary policy decision. It is widely expected that the Fed will hold rates steady at the 5.25-5.50% range but will hint at further rate hikes being necessary. Economic activity in the US was seen holding resilient, and as the Fed is expecting the economy to cool down, one last hike may be appropriate. In that sense, as investors discount that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will end its last hike on Thursday, monetary policy divergences may continue pushing the pair upwards.

On the data front, the US reported that Building Permits accelerated to 1.543M in August, beating the expected and previous figures, while Housing Starts slightly decelerated to 1.283M.
 

USD/CHF Levels to watch 

 The daily chart analysis indicates a bullish outlook for the USD/CHF in the short term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above its midline in positive territory, with a positive slope near 70, aligning with the positive signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which displays green bars, reinforcing the strong bullish sentiment. Plus, a bullish crossover between the 20 and 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) was recorded at the 0.8885 area, which could further boost the pair.

 Support levels: 0.8950, 0.8900, 0.8885.

 Resistance levels: 0.8985, 0.9000, 0.9038 (200-day SMA)

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8979
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.897
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8877
Daily SMA500.8778
Daily SMA1000.888
Daily SMA2000.904
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8982
Previous Daily Low0.8954
Previous Weekly High0.8978
Previous Weekly Low0.8897
Previous Monthly High0.8876
Previous Monthly Low0.869
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8965
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8972
Daily Pivot Point S10.8955
Daily Pivot Point S20.8941
Daily Pivot Point S30.8927
Daily Pivot Point R10.8984
Daily Pivot Point R20.8997
Daily Pivot Point R30.9012

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).