|

USD/CHF drifting into the low side towards 0.8800 ahead of next week's US GDP, CPI & PCE inflation

  • The US Dollar waffled against the Swiss Franc on Friday, stuck near the 0.8820 level.
  • The USD/CHF is on pace to drop back into the 0.8800 handle.
  • Next week sees US GDP and CPI inflation numbers.

The USD/CHF tracked lower on Friday as broader markets saw an uptick in risk appetite to close out the trading week, bringing the US Dollar (USD) down into familiar lows against the Swiss Franc (CHF) with the 0.8800 handle in full view.

The pair traded mostly flat for the week with a brief push into a high of 0.8874 while Friday saw the week's low etched in at 0.8811.

Next week sees a relatively sedate economic calendar before high-impact US data hits markets in the mid-week, with US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) scheduled for Wednesday and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation figures slated for Thursday.

An array of US market data due in the latter half of next week

Annualized US quarterly GDP is expected to tick upwards slightly from 4.9% to 5.0%, and US PCE for the month of October is forecast to drop slightly from 0.3% to 0.2%.

Next week will close out market action with Swiss quarterly GDP and US ISM Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) numbers both slated for Friday, December 1st.

Swiss GDP is broadly expected to hold flat for the third quarter at 0.0%, while the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for November is forecast to tick upwards from 46.7 to 47.6.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell will also be making an appearance next Friday. The head of the Fed will be participating in an informal discussion labeled "Navigating Pathways to Economic Mobility" at the Spelman College of Atlanta.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook

The USD/CHF's Friday dip sets the pair up for a fresh downside run at the 0.8800 handle, and technical support is looking thin in the near-term, with the nearest firm barrier seen at July's low bids near 0.8550.

On the top end, a series of lower highs is drawing in a descending trendline from October's early swing high into 0.9250, which looks set to provide technical resistance looking ahead.

The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is trending down below just below the major 0.9000 handle, capping off any strong topside bullish recoveries, while the 50-day SMA is rotating into a bearish stance from just above 0.9000.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.882
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open0.8842
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8962
Daily SMA500.9014
Daily SMA1000.8894
Daily SMA2000.8984
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8855
Previous Daily Low0.8817
Previous Weekly High0.9052
Previous Weekly Low0.8853
Previous Monthly High0.9244
Previous Monthly Low0.8888
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.884
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8832
Daily Pivot Point S10.8821
Daily Pivot Point S20.8801
Daily Pivot Point S30.8784
Daily Pivot Point R10.8859
Daily Pivot Point R20.8876
Daily Pivot Point R30.8896

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).