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USD/CAD technical analysis: Sellers dominate below 200-day EMA

  • USD/CAD extends south-run following heavy declines.
  • A negative candle after the Doji, coupled with bearish MACD, favor sellers.
  • Two-week-old resistance-line caps upside beyond the key EMA.

Following losses on the daily candle after a bearish Doji, the USD/CAD pair declines to intra-day low of 1.3218 during early Wednesday.

In addition to downward signaling candlestick formation, a sustained trading below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and bearish signals from the 12-bar moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) also indicate pair’s further south-run.

In doing so, 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-September upside, at 1.3200, could be the first to lure bears before pushing them towards an upward sloping trend-line since July 19, at 1.3182 now.

Should there be additional weakness past-1.3182, prices can revisit September month low nearing 1.3130.

On the upside, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 200-day EMA together limit the pair’s immediate advances around 1.3243/47, a break of which could trigger rise towards a fortnight-long falling trend-line, at 1.3290.

Additionally, pair’s sustained advances beyond 1.3290 enable it to challenge the previous month high nearing 1.3310.

USD/CAD daily chart

 Trend: bearish

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3218
Today Daily Change-4 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open1.3222
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3235
Daily SMA501.3247
Daily SMA1001.3254
Daily SMA2001.3298
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.329
Previous Daily Low1.321
Previous Weekly High1.3305
Previous Weekly Low1.3214
Previous Monthly High1.3384
Previous Monthly Low1.3134
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.324
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.326
Daily Pivot Point S11.319
Daily Pivot Point S21.316
Daily Pivot Point S31.3109
Daily Pivot Point R11.3271
Daily Pivot Point R21.3322
Daily Pivot Point R31.3352

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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