USD/CAD technical analysis: Sellers dominate below 200-day EMA


  • USD/CAD extends south-run following heavy declines.
  • A negative candle after the Doji, coupled with bearish MACD, favor sellers.
  • Two-week-old resistance-line caps upside beyond the key EMA.

Following losses on the daily candle after a bearish Doji, the USD/CAD pair declines to intra-day low of 1.3218 during early Wednesday.

In addition to downward signaling candlestick formation, a sustained trading below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and bearish signals from the 12-bar moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) also indicate pair’s further south-run.

In doing so, 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-September upside, at 1.3200, could be the first to lure bears before pushing them towards an upward sloping trend-line since July 19, at 1.3182 now.

Should there be additional weakness past-1.3182, prices can revisit September month low nearing 1.3130.

On the upside, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 200-day EMA together limit the pair’s immediate advances around 1.3243/47, a break of which could trigger rise towards a fortnight-long falling trend-line, at 1.3290.

Additionally, pair’s sustained advances beyond 1.3290 enable it to challenge the previous month high nearing 1.3310.

USD/CAD daily chart

 Trend: bearish

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.3218
Today Daily Change -4 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.03%
Today daily open 1.3222
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3235
Daily SMA50 1.3247
Daily SMA100 1.3254
Daily SMA200 1.3298
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.329
Previous Daily Low 1.321
Previous Weekly High 1.3305
Previous Weekly Low 1.3214
Previous Monthly High 1.3384
Previous Monthly Low 1.3134
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.324
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.326
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.319
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.316
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3109
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3271
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3322
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3352

 

 

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