|

USD/CAD sticks to intraday gains around 1.3525 amid weaker Crude Oil prices

  • USD/CAD scales higher for the second successive day on Monday amid sliding Oil prices.
  • Retreating US bond yields undermines the USD, though does little to hinder the uptick.
  • The US housing market data could produce short-term trading opportunities later today.

The USD/CAD pair is seen building on last week's rebound from the 1.3440 support zone and gaining some positive traction for the second successive day on Monday. Spot prices stick to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session and currently trade around the 1.3525 region amid weaker Crude Oil prices.

Market participants remain uncertain about the fuel demand outlook amid expectations that higher borrowing costs will dent the economic activity in the US – the world's largest Oil consumer. This, in turn, drags Crude Oil prices away from a multi-week top touched last Thursday, which is seen undermining the commodity-linked Loonie. Adding to this, softer-than-expected Canadian consumer inflation figures released last week exert additional pressure on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and lend support to the USD/CAD pair.

Meanwhile, the intraday uptick seems rather unaffected by subdued US Dollar (USD) price action, led by retreating US Treasury bond yields. That said, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates higher for longer favours the USD bulls and suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD pair is to the upside. It, however, remains to be seen if spot prices could extend the momentum amid worries about supply disruptions in the Middle East, which could act as a tailwind for Crude Oil prices.

Moving ahead, Monday's release of New Home Sales data from the US, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, might drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair. Traders will further take cues from Oil price dynamics to grab short-term opportunities. the focus, however, will remain glued to the US Core PCE Price Index, which will play a key role in influencing the Fed's future policy decisions and determining the near-term trajectory for the currency pair.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3524
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.16
Today daily open1.3503
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3476
Daily SMA501.3413
Daily SMA1001.3543
Daily SMA2001.3478
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3518
Previous Daily Low1.3462
Previous Weekly High1.3536
Previous Weekly Low1.3441
Previous Monthly High1.3542
Previous Monthly Low1.3229
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3496
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3483
Daily Pivot Point S11.347
Daily Pivot Point S21.3438
Daily Pivot Point S31.3414
Daily Pivot Point R11.3526
Daily Pivot Point R21.355
Daily Pivot Point R31.3582

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold: Record rally sustains near $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold sustains the record-setting rally near $4,500 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The Israel-Iran conflict and the escalating US-Venezuela tensions boost safe-haven flows into Gold. Furthermore, US Q3 GDP data fails to lift the US Dollar amid growing bets for two Fed rate cuts in 2026, underpinning the non-yielding bullion. 

The crypto market is preparing us for a deeper global sell-off

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 1.4% to $2.97T, falling below the $3T mark once again. The market was unable to repeat the robust rebound from the local bottom, as it did after 23 November and 2 December, indicating increased pressure from sellers.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.