USD/CAD showing tentative signs of topping out - Westpac

Sandeep Kanihama FXStreet Contributor

According to Richard Franulovich, Research Analyst at Westpac, USD/CAD is showing tentative signs of topping out near 1.2500 but with the BoC now on the sidelines with its datadependent posture, the better part of USD/CAD’s bigger decline in the last six months is mostly complete, for the time being.

Key Quotes

“Recent BoC commentary suggests only a very slim chance of a hike when they meet Oct 25. That shouldn’t upset markets with just a 20% chance of a hike priced in for that meeting.”

“Further out, markets price in 50bp in hikes by mid-2018. That seems entirely reasonable – PM Trudeau’s 2016 fiscal stimulus is still washing through the economy, US prospects are firming amid very easy financial conditions while oil prices are holding near multi-month highs. USD/CAD should wash about in a 1.23-1.26 range into year’s end before potentially resuming its downtrend as US tax cut fever hits political snags and the BoC resumes rate hikes.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold extends fall below $4,100 as Fed hike bets counter USD weakness

Gold weakens further below $4,100, hitting a fresh one-week low as oil-driven inflation risks reinforce Fed hike bets and weigh on the bullion heading into the European session. Meanwhile, falling US bond yields keep the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low despite geopolitical uncertainties. This, however, does little to support the non-yielding bullion, backing the case for further losses.

Dogecoin stays weak despite whales and new deal

Dogecoin price remains under pressure, trading below $0.081 despite a modest rebound earlier this week. Santiment data shows signs of accumulation, and Wednesday’s announcement of a Dogecoin Labs partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation adds a mildly bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives metrics and weakening momentum indicators continue to limit the meme coin recovery.

Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs with the AI trade, led by a bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average got most of its share of Wednesday's artificial intelligence (AI) rally from a bank and a bulldozer maker. The index closed near 52,800, its highest close since early September. SpaceX (SPCX) reported 161% revenue growth and the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 1%, but under price weighting the gains that counted most belonged to Goldman Sachs (GS) and Caterpillar (CAT).

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything

Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.