|

USD/CAD recovers from Friday's lows to inch closer towards 1.35

  • The USD/CAD is recovering for Friday after slipping to 1.3425.
  • Rising oil prices are bolstering the CAD, but the USD has been finding market support.
  • Canadian Retail Sales rose for July, but slightly less than expected, reducing CAD upside.

The USD/CAD is set to finish out Friday near where it started, trading just south of 1.3490.

The Loonie (CAD) has twisted through the back half of the trading week, with the CAD and (Greenback) playing tug-of-war.

Rising oil prices have been boosting the CAD lately, but a break in crude gains sees the USD/CAD testing back into recovery territory.

Canadian Retail Sales rose 0.3% in July, slightly below market expectations of 0.4% but an improvement on the previous month's -0.7%, which was revised upwards from -0.8%.

Core Retail Sales (retail sales figures less automobiles) rose 1% for the same period, breezing past analyst forecasts of 0.5%.

On the US side, Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures came in mixed, seeing a brief slip in the US Dollar but capping off the potential for a determined move in either direction for the USD.

The preliminary US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for September climbed to 48.9 against the expected 48, easily clearing expectations. The Services PMI component slipped analyst forecasts, dipping to 50.2 and reversing the expected improvement to 50.6.

Read more: 

US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.9, Services PMI declines to 50.2 in September

The economic calendar is on the thin side for next week, but investors will be keeping one eye out for US Durable Goods Orders next Wednesday. Markets are expecting durable goods orders for August to print at -0.4%, a declining figure but still an improvement from the previous period's 5.2% decline.

USD/CAD technical outlook

The USD/CAD is trying to recover from near-term lows into 1.3380, and is seeing the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently capping off intraday action from 1.3500.

The pair is 1.6% down from September's peak just below the 1.3700 handle.

Daily candlesticks sees the USD/CAD stuck into the 200-day SMA, and market sentiment could flow in either direction moving forward.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3479
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1.3484
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3558
Daily SMA501.3436
Daily SMA1001.3398
Daily SMA2001.3463
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3524
Previous Daily Low1.3453
Previous Weekly High1.3639
Previous Weekly Low1.3493
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3497
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.348
Daily Pivot Point S11.345
Daily Pivot Point S21.3416
Daily Pivot Point S31.3379
Daily Pivot Point R11.352
Daily Pivot Point R21.3558
Daily Pivot Point R31.3591

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.