|

USD/CAD recovers from Friday's lows to inch closer towards 1.35

  • The USD/CAD is recovering for Friday after slipping to 1.3425.
  • Rising oil prices are bolstering the CAD, but the USD has been finding market support.
  • Canadian Retail Sales rose for July, but slightly less than expected, reducing CAD upside.

The USD/CAD is set to finish out Friday near where it started, trading just south of 1.3490.

The Loonie (CAD) has twisted through the back half of the trading week, with the CAD and (Greenback) playing tug-of-war.

Rising oil prices have been boosting the CAD lately, but a break in crude gains sees the USD/CAD testing back into recovery territory.

Canadian Retail Sales rose 0.3% in July, slightly below market expectations of 0.4% but an improvement on the previous month's -0.7%, which was revised upwards from -0.8%.

Core Retail Sales (retail sales figures less automobiles) rose 1% for the same period, breezing past analyst forecasts of 0.5%.

On the US side, Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures came in mixed, seeing a brief slip in the US Dollar but capping off the potential for a determined move in either direction for the USD.

The preliminary US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for September climbed to 48.9 against the expected 48, easily clearing expectations. The Services PMI component slipped analyst forecasts, dipping to 50.2 and reversing the expected improvement to 50.6.

Read more: 

US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.9, Services PMI declines to 50.2 in September

The economic calendar is on the thin side for next week, but investors will be keeping one eye out for US Durable Goods Orders next Wednesday. Markets are expecting durable goods orders for August to print at -0.4%, a declining figure but still an improvement from the previous period's 5.2% decline.

USD/CAD technical outlook

The USD/CAD is trying to recover from near-term lows into 1.3380, and is seeing the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently capping off intraday action from 1.3500.

The pair is 1.6% down from September's peak just below the 1.3700 handle.

Daily candlesticks sees the USD/CAD stuck into the 200-day SMA, and market sentiment could flow in either direction moving forward.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3479
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1.3484
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3558
Daily SMA501.3436
Daily SMA1001.3398
Daily SMA2001.3463
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3524
Previous Daily Low1.3453
Previous Weekly High1.3639
Previous Weekly Low1.3493
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3497
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.348
Daily Pivot Point S11.345
Daily Pivot Point S21.3416
Daily Pivot Point S31.3379
Daily Pivot Point R11.352
Daily Pivot Point R21.3558
Daily Pivot Point R31.3591

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.