- USD/CAD holds positive ground near 1.3685 on the rebound of USD on Tuesday.
- Fed’s Barkin noted the current rate level should cool the economy enough to bring down inflation to the 2% goal.
- The BoC potentially getting closer to rate cuts relative to the Fed, which might drag the CAD lower.
The USD/CAD pair gains traction around 1.3685 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The rebounds of Greenback and the decline of oil prices provide some support to the pair. Investors will take more cues from the Canadian Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for April, due later in the day.
Recent US labor market data and comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have triggered the speculation of rate cuts. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said on Monday that the current interest rate level should cool the economy enough to bring down inflation to the Fed's 2% goal. New York Fed President John Williams noted that "eventually" the US Fed will cut interest rates, although he did not give a time frame.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) strengthens broadly amid the uncertainties surrounding the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which boost the safe-haven currencies like the Greenback. Israel's war cabinet voted to continue the military attack on Hamas, and Israeli troops launched strikes on Gaza's southernmost city on Monday, hours after Hamas announced it would accept terms based on a cease-fire proposal by Egyptian and Qatari mediators, per New York Times.
On the Loonie front, an FX strategist from CIBC Capital Markets expects that there are going to be some headwinds for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) in the near term as the Bank of Canada (BoC) potentially gets closer to rate cuts relative to the Fed. This, in turn, is likely to cap the downside of USD/CAD put for the time being. Apart from this, the decline in oil prices near two-month lows exerts some selling pressure on the commodity-linked Loonie as Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data
EUR/USD clings to modest daily gains above 1.0850 in the second half of the day on Friday. The improving risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar to hold its ground after PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher ahead of the weekend.
GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves
GBP/USD maintains recovery momentum and fluctuates above 1.2850 in the American session on Friday. The positive shift seen in risk mood doesn't allow the US Dollar to preserve its strength and supports the pair.
Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower
Following a quiet European session, Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades decisively higher on the day above $2,380. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield loses more than 1% on the day after US PCE inflation data, fuelling XAU/USD's upside.
Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of key support level
Avalanche (AVAX) price bounced off the $26.34 support level to trade at $27.95 as of Friday. Growing on-chain development activity indicates a potential bullish move in the coming days.
The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen
After an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and drop out of President Biden, Kamala Harris has been endorsed as the Democratic candidate to compete against Trump in the upcoming November US presidential election.