USD/CAD Price Forecast: Down leg unfolding within long-term range

USD/CAD is declining within a large range.
The Loonie will probably fall to the range lows or an interim target.
The RSI is oversold indicating a risk of a reaction, although no signal has been given yet.

Joaquin Monfort FXStreet

USD/CAD is currently declining within a long-term range which has a ceiling in the 1.39s and a floor in the 1.31-1.32s.

The pair is unfolding a down leg within this range as the US Dollar (USD) weakens. Both the medium and short-term trends are now bearish, which given “the trend is your friend” favors short positions over longs.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

The pair is likely to continue falling in line with the trend, with an eventual target, most probably, at the range floor, starting at 1.3220.

An interim target is also situated at 1.3380 composed of swing lows in October 2023 and January 2024.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is in the oversold region indicating a risk of a pull back. However, a buy signal is not said to be given until RSI exits oversold and re-enters the neutral territory (on a closing basis) – which has not yet happened.

Given the oversold state of the RSI, however, traders are advised not to add to their existing short positions. Nor should they close them either, since RSI can remain oversold for a long time during downtrends whilst price continues making lower lows.

There is no sign from price that it is about to pull back as the chart keeps printing one red bar after another.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

FXStreet

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

EUR/USD off highs, back to 1.1850

EUR/USD loses some upside momentum, returning to the 1.1850 region amid humble losses. The pair’s slight decline comes against the backdrop of a marginal advance in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings.

GBP/USD advances to daily tops around 1.3650

GBP/USD now manages to pick up extra pace, clinching daily highs around 1.3650 and leaving behind three consecutive daily pullbacks on Friday. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the inconclusive price action of the Greenback, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborates with the uptick.

Gold surpasses $5,000/oz, daily highs

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s upside is also propped up by the lack of clear direction around the US Dollar post-US CPI release.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.