USD/CAD Price Analysis: Struggles for a firm intraday direction, remains below 200-day SMA


Share:
  • USD/CAD fails to attract buyers and is influenced by a combination of diverging forces.
  • A downtick in Oil prices undermines the Loonie, though a softer USD caps the upside.
  • The mixed technical setup also warrants some caution before placing directional bets.

The USD/CAD pair struggles to capitalize on Friday's bounce from the 1.3415-1.3410 area or a one-week low and oscillates in a narrow range through the early European session on the first day of a new week. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3460 area, nearly unchanged for the day, and remain below the very important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

Crude Oil prices kick off the new week on a weaker note in the wake of easing concerns about supply from the Middle East, which is seen undermining the commodity-linked Loonie and acting as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair. That said, Friday's upbeat domestic jobs report helps limit the downside for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick keeps a lid on any meaningful appreciating move for the currency pair.

From a technical perspective, the recent failure ahead of mid-1.3600s, or a nearly two-month peak touched last week, constitutes the formation of multiple tops on the daily chart. That said, the lack of strong follow-through selling warrants some caution before positioning for any further losses. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart – though have been losing traction – are yet to confirm a negative outlook and support prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying.

Hence, Friday's swing low, around the 1.3415-1.3410 area, might continue to protect the immediate downside ahead of the 1.3400 mark. The next relevant support is pegged near the 1.3345 region, or the YTD trough, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. The USD/CAD pair might then accelerate the downward trajectory further towards the 1.3300 mark before dropping to mid-1.3200s and sub-1.3200 levels, or the December swing low.

On the flip side, momentum beyond the 1.3475 area (200-day SMA) is likely to confront resistance near the 1.3500 psychological mark ahead of the 1.3540-1.3545 region, or the multiple-tops. A sustained strength beyond the latter will negate any near-term negative outlook and pave the way for some meaningful appreciating move. The USD/CAD pair might then accelerate the positive move towards the 1.3600 round figure and the 1.3610-1.3615 supply zone.

USD/CAD daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3467
Today Daily Change 0.0009
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 1.3458
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3463
Daily SMA50 1.342
Daily SMA100 1.3553
Daily SMA200 1.3476
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3482
Previous Daily Low 1.3413
Previous Weekly High 1.3544
Previous Weekly Low 1.3413
Previous Monthly High 1.3542
Previous Monthly Low 1.3229
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3455
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3439
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.342
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3382
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3352
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3489
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.352
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3558

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0850 ahead of US data

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0850 ahead of US data

EUR/USD is ranging at around 1.0850 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair stays supported amid a broadly subdued US Dollar and hawkish comments from ECB President Lagarde. The focus now shifts to the high-impact US economic data. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD holds steady below 1.2700, BoE-speak, US data eyed

GBP/USD holds steady below 1.2700, BoE-speak, US data eyed

GBP/USD is keeping its range trade intact below 1.2700 early Tuesday. A softer US Dollar and a cautious market mood are contributing to the bull-bear tug-of-war, as traders await the speeches from the BoE and the Fed policymakers alongside the US macro news. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price remains within striking distance of two-week high ahead of US macro data

Gold price remains within striking distance of two-week high ahead of US macro data

Gold price (XAU/USD) catches fresh bids following the previous day's modest downfall and remains well within the striking distance of over a two-week high touched last Thursday. 

Gold News

XRP price recoups losses as Ripple gears up to reveal blockchain roadmap for 2024

XRP price recoups losses as Ripple gears up to reveal blockchain roadmap for 2024

XRP price is influenced by the developments in Ripple and the updates in the SEC v. Ripple lawsuit. The altcoin climbed past the $0.56 level as the XRPLedger prepares to unveil its roadmap for 2024.

Read more

Calm before the data

Calm before the data

It feels like there is a moment of calm and silence in the aftermath of major tech earnings, investors will decide whether this rally deserves to continue higher straight away. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures