USD/CAD Price Analysis: Loonie buyers flex muscles below 1.3500 as Canada, US data looms

USDCAD stays depressed after snapping two-day winning streak, reversing from 50-DMA.
Failure to stay beyond 50-DMA, two-month-old descending resistance line keeps Loonie pair sellers hopeful despite sluggish MACD signals.
Rising support line from early February restricts immediate downside; Bulls need validation from April’s peak.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/CAD bears flirt with the 200-DMA surrounding 1.3465 as they take a breather after the Loonie pair’s biggest daily fall in over a week, especially on the release day of the US Retail Sales and Canada inflation data.

Also read: USD/CAD dives as the Canadian Dollar rides on higher oil prices, soft USD

The Loonie pair reversed from the 50-DMA the previous day to snap a two-day uptrend. The pair’s following declines, however, failed to gain support from the MACD and hence the USD/CAD bears struggle near the 200-DMA support near 1.3465-60 by the press time.

Even if the quote breaks the 200-DMA key support, an upward-sloping support line from early February, close to 1.3365 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the 1.3400 round figure may act as an intermediate halt between the key DMA and the stated support line.

In a case where the USD/CAD bears keep the reins past 1.3365, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the yearly low marked in February near 1.3260 can’t be ruled out. Though, lows marked in April and mid-February, near 1.3340 and 1.3270 respectively, may prod the pair sellers.

On the flip side, the USD/CAD pair’s recovery can aim for the 50-DMA hurdle of around 1.3560 ahead of challenging a 10-week-old descending resistance line, close to 1.3585 by the press time.

Should the quote remains firmer past 1.3585, the previous monthly high of near 1.3665 will be crucial for the Loonie pair buyers before targeting the late March swing high of 1.3805.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.3465
Today Daily Change	-0.0087
Today Daily Change %	-0.64%
Today daily open	1.3552

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3504
Daily SMA50	1.3569
Daily SMA100	1.3514
Daily SMA200	1.346

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3565
Previous Daily Low	1.348
Previous Weekly High	1.3565
Previous Weekly Low	1.3315
Previous Monthly High	1.3668
Previous Monthly Low	1.3301
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3533
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.3512
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3499
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3447
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3414
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3585
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3618
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.367

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold defends key $4,280 support ahead of Fed verdict

Gold is attempting another run above $4,300 early Wednesday, replicating a tepid bounce seen in Tuesday’s Asian trading. Gold’s next major directional move depends on the US Federal Reserve monetary policy decision and outlook due later in the day.

Ethereum continues to attract capital despite impending rate hike and Clarity Act failure

Ethereum declined to $2,400 on Tuesday after the Clarity Act failed to progress in the Senate. Despite that and the market's near certainty of an interest rate hike at the next Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, the top altcoin has continued to attract fresh capital. Ethereum buyers have been dominating sellers over the past few days.

August UK inflation report expected to show rising inflation

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics will publish the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index data for August on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT. The inflation report could trigger volatility in the British Pound, as it comes just one day before the Bank of England monetary policy decision.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.