|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bounces off 1.3520 support confluence

  • USD/CAD reverses from intraday low, probes the previous daily loss.
  • Convergence of 200-SMA, three-day-old ascending trend line restricts immediate downside.
  • Bulls remain off the table unless crossing the previous support line from November.
  • Downbeat RSI line, sustained trading below key trend line, SMA favor sellers.

USD/CAD takes a U-turn from the intraday low while picking up bids to 1.3560 amid the holiday-thinned trading session on Monday. In doing so, the Loonie pair bounces off the convergence of the 200-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from the last Wednesday.

That said, the quote’s failure to stay beyond the support-turned-resistance line from November 15, following the previous week’s bounce off the 200-SMA, joins sustained trading below the 50-SMA to keep USD/CAD sellers hopeful.

As a result, the Loonie pair is likely to conquer the 1.3520 support level and aim for the 1.3500 round figure.

However, the double bottom around 1.3485, marked in the last week, will be crucial for the USD/CAD bears to keep the reins.

Following that, the previous monthly low of around 1.3385 could lure the pair sellers ahead of November’s bottom surrounding 1.3225.

Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery moves could aim for the weekly resistance line, around 1.3570, before poking the 50-SMA level surrounding 1.3580.

Though, successful trading beyond the 1.5-month-old support-turned-resistance line, close to 1.3610 at the latest, becomes necessary for the USD/CAD bulls to retake control.

Overall, USD/CAD is likely to remain on the bear’s radar unless even as the downside room is limited.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.356
Today Daily Change0.0020
Today Daily Change %0.15%
Today daily open1.354
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3607
Daily SMA501.3527
Daily SMA1001.3444
Daily SMA2001.3122
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3582
Previous Daily Low1.3514
Previous Weekly High1.3612
Previous Weekly Low1.3484
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.354
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3556
Daily Pivot Point S11.3508
Daily Pivot Point S21.3477
Daily Pivot Point S31.344
Daily Pivot Point R11.3576
Daily Pivot Point R21.3613
Daily Pivot Point R31.3644

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).