|

USD/CAD inches higher to mid-1.2600s, CAD GDP and US data in focus

The USD/CAD pair was seen building on previous session's strong up-move and has now jumped to near two-week highs, beyond mid-1.2600s.

Wednesday's strong ADP report and GDP revision provided an additional boost to the US Dollar's recovery move and has been one of the key factors behind the pair's sharp rebound from closer to July lows support near mid-1.2400s.

   •  The Fed will like the US Q2 GDP data: momentum much firmer than expected - ANZ

This coupled with, widening of Canadian current account deficit, to $16.3 billion in the second quarter, further helped the pair to decisively break through the 1.2600 heavy supply zone. 

Moreover, weaker crude oil prices, following the weekly EIA report, which tends to dampen demand for the commodity-linked currency - Loonie, could also be attributed to the pair's strong up-move of over 200-pips from 4-week lows touched on Tuesday.

Investors' focus now shifts to today's economic docket, featuring the key release of monthly Canadian GDP and US macro data, due for release later during the NA session.

   •  Key data preview: US economy PCE deflator coming up - Nomura

Technical levels to watch

Immediate resistance is pegged near 1.2675-80 zone, above which the pair is likely to move past the 1.2700 handle and test 50-day SMA hurdle near the 1.2710 region.

On the flip side, any pull-back below 1.2620 level now seems to find support near the 1.2600 handle, which if broken could accelerate the slide back towards 1.2560-55 strong horizontal support.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.