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USD/CAD holds comfortably above 1.2800 amid stronger USD, lacks bullish conviction

  • USD/CAD added to the overnight recovery gains and edged higher for the second straight day.
  • Worries about surging COVID-19 cases benefitted the safe-haven USD and extended support.
  • Bullish crude oil prices underpinned the loonie and kept a lid on any further gains for the pair.

The USD/CAD pair trimmed a part of its intraday gains and was last seen trading around the 1.2820-25 region during the early part of the European session.

The pair built on the previous day's goodish bounce from the 1.2770 area, or a one-and-half-week low, and gained some traction during the early part of the trading on Wednesday. The uptick, however, faltered near the 1.2830-35 region amid bullish crude oil prices, which tend to underpin the commodity-linked loonie.

The black gold remained supported by easing concerns over the Omicron variant and Tuesday's report from the American Petroleum Institute, which showed a draw of 3.1 million barrels last week. Investors now await the official crude oil supply data from the US Energy Information Administration, due later during the US session.

Meanwhile, the downside remains cushioned amid a modest US dollar strength. Despite the recent optimism, investors remain worried about the economic impact of the continuous surge in new COVID-19 cases. This, in turn, assisted the safe-haven US dollar to gain traction for the second successive day and acted as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair.

The mixed fundamental backdrops warrant some caution for bullish traders and before confirming that the recent retracement from the YTD high has run its course. That said, the overnight rebound from support marked by the lower boundary of an ascending channel and the subsequent move up supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move.

Wednesday's US economic docket, featuring the November Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories and Pending Home Sales data, might do little to provide any impetus. Hence, traders will take cues from the broader market risk sentiment, which will drive the USD demand. Apart from this, oil price dynamics should produce some trading opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2824
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.2812
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2803
Daily SMA501.2631
Daily SMA1001.2621
Daily SMA2001.2496
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2832
Previous Daily Low1.2782
Previous Weekly High1.2964
Previous Weekly Low1.2786
Previous Monthly High1.2837
Previous Monthly Low1.2352
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2813
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2801
Daily Pivot Point S11.2785
Daily Pivot Point S21.2758
Daily Pivot Point S31.2735
Daily Pivot Point R11.2835
Daily Pivot Point R21.2858
Daily Pivot Point R31.2885

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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