|

USD/CAD falls to near 1.4300 due to political and trade-related developments in Canada

  • USD/CAD depreciates as the CAD gains support following the news of PM Trudeau’s resignation.
  • Canada is considering advancing the release of retaliatory tariffs on US goods.
  • The US Dollar corrects downwards ahead of ISM Services PMI due later in the day.

The USD/CAD pair remains subdued as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives support from news that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would announce his plans to step down but said it expected to happen before an emergency meeting of Liberal legislators on Wednesday. The USD/CAD pair trades around 1.4310 during the European hours on Tuesday.

The Canadian media outlet “The Globe and Mail” published a gated report on Tuesday, stating that Canada’s federal government is considering an early release of a proposed list of American goods that would face retaliatory Canadian tariffs. This move would be in response to potential tariffs imposed by incoming US President Donald Trump on Canadian products.

However, lower crude Oil prices might have put downward pressure on the commodity-linked CAD, given that Canada is the largest Oil exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $72.90 per barrel at the time of writing.

However, Oil prices may find support as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) Oil production declined in December, primarily due to the United Arab Emirates' (UAE) efforts to implement supply cuts to stabilize global Oil markets, according to Bloomberg (gated).

Traders are expected to closely monitor the release of Canada’s Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Tuesday, along with the US ISM Services PMI. Attention will then shift to the Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) December policy meeting, scheduled for release on Wednesday.

On Monday, the seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Services PMI Business Activity Index climbed for the second consecutive month in December, reaching a 33-month high of 56.8, up from 56.1 in November. Meanwhile, the S&P Global US Composite PMI Output Index rose to 55.4 in December, compared to 54.9 in November. This latest reading indicated a significant monthly increase in business activity, marking the fastest expansion since April 2022.

The US Dollar (USD) may find some support following President-elect Donald Trump's comments that his tariff policy will not be scaled back. Trump also refuted a Washington Post report suggesting his team was considering limiting the scope of his tariff plan to only cover specific critical imports.

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.19%-0.13%-0.05%-0.11%-0.48%-0.67%-0.00%
EUR0.19% 0.05%0.11%0.07%-0.30%-0.50%0.16%
GBP0.13%-0.05% 0.10%0.02%-0.35%-0.55%0.11%
JPY0.05%-0.11%-0.10% -0.06%-0.43%-0.64%0.03%
CAD0.11%-0.07%-0.02%0.06% -0.37%-0.57%0.10%
AUD0.48%0.30%0.35%0.43%0.37% -0.20%0.46%
NZD0.67%0.50%0.55%0.64%0.57%0.20% 0.66%
CHF0.00%-0.16%-0.11%-0.03%-0.10%-0.46%-0.66% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).