- USD/CAD has slipped below 1.3750 as expectations for Fed’s steady policy escalate.
- A scrutiny of February’s US inflation-linked data indicates that January’s inflation revival was a one-time blip.
- Oil price looks vulnerable above $68.00 as tightening policies for banking system by central banks could dent oil demand ahead.
The USD/CAD pair has corrected to near the critical support of 1.3750 in the Tokyo session. The Loonie asset is facing the heat as the upside momentum in the US Dollar Index has started fading now. The street is anticipating maintenance of status-quo by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week as United States inflation has resumed its softening spell meaningfully.
Scrutiny of February’s US Consumer Price Index, Employment report, Retail Sales, and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures indicate that January’s economic data was a one-time blip. The US inflation has resumed its downside journey and the joining of fears associated with the global banking crisis is stemming an unchanged policy stance on interest rates.
The odds of a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike by the Fed have majorly faded, however, the other school of thought is still standing with a 25 bps rate hike expectation. Citing former senior Bank for International Settlements official and ex-New York Fed research director Stephen Cecchetti, MNI reported on Wednesday, “The Fed will likely approve a quarter-point interest rate increase next week as focus shifts from strong economic data to restoring confidence in the banking system.”
S&P500 futures have recovered a majority of Wednesday’s losses in the Asian session as investors have started shrugging off the uncertainty associated with global banking turmoil after Credit Suisse’s debacle and Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways near the immediate support of 104.60 and is expected to remain on tenterhooks ahead.
Meanwhile, the oil price looks vulnerable above $68.00 after a recovery move as tightening policies for the banking system by central banks could dent oil demand further. It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and lower oil prices would impact the Canadian Dollar.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD advances toward 1.1200 on renewed US Dollar weakness
EUR/USD is extending gains toward 1.1200 on Friday, finding fresh demand near 1.1150. Risk sentiment improves and weighs on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to regain traction. The Greenback also reels from the pain of the dovish Fed outlook, with Fedspeak back on tap.
Gold price advances further beyond $2,600 mark, fresh record high
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains positive traction for the second successive day on Friday and advances to a fresh record high, beyond the $2,600 mark during the early European session.
USD/JPY recovers to 143.00 area during BoJ Governor Ueda's presser
USD/JPY stages a recovery toward 143.00 in the European morning following the initial pullback seen after the BoJ's decision to maintain status quo. In the post-meeting press conference, Governor Ueda reiterated that they will adjust the degree of easing if needed.
Shiba Inu is poised for a rally as price action and on-chain metrics signal bullish momentum
Shiba Inu remains strong on Friday after breaking above a symmetrical triangle pattern on Thursday. This breakout signals bullish momentum, further bolstered by a rise in daily new transactions that suggests a potential rally in the coming days.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.