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USD/CAD bounds over 1.35 as Greenback pushes up across the board

  • The USD/CAD had cleared the 1.3500 handle in Tuesday trading.
  • The oil-backed Loonie is unable to find gains as the DXY captures the broader market.
  • US data to feature heavily in the back half of the week.

The USD/CAD has decisively reclaimed the 1.3500 major handle for Tuesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is pumping higher across the entire market, bolstered by a hawkish Fed and risk aversion taking a bite out of the market's appetite for riskier assets.

The broad US Dollar Index (DXY) is at its highest levels since last November, and the Greenback (USD) is taking a step higher. Even with oil prices rising for Tuesday which would normally prop up the Loonie (CAD), the USD is still the clear winner on the charts.

US Treasury yields are knocking on multi-year highs with the 10-year Treasury yield holding above 4.5%, pushing the USD higher. US markets are increasingly concerned about a potential US government shutdown looming, knocking risk appetite even further back.

Economic calendar: US figures in focus

On the data docket it's notably CAD-thin, leaving investors to focus almost entirely on US data for this week.

Tuesday saw US Housing Price Index figures cleanly beat expectations, printing at 0.8%, leaping over the forecast 0.5% and doubling the previous reading of 0.4%.

Wednesday will bring US Durable Goods Orders (forecast: -0.5%, previous -5.2%), and investors will be focusing on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures due on Thursday. Median market forecasts are anticipating a steady print at an annualized 2.1% for the second quarter.

The trading week will close out with US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data on Friday. PCE, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred US inflation measure, is expected to hold steady at 0.2% for the month of August.

A data beat could see the Greenback clear even further ground with Fed policymakers already leaning towards the potential for further rate hikes in the future if inflation refuses to bed down.

USD/CAD technical outlook

The Greenback is up 0.3% against the Loonie in Tuesday's market session, vaulting the 1.3500 mark and poised to extend further beyond the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently chalked in near 1.3480.

Near-term resistance is coming from last week's swing high near 1.3525, and intraday bullish momentum might find a covering pullback from here.

On the daily candlesticks, the USD/CAD is geared for a decisive split from the 200-day SMA, which has constrained price action for several days and is currently settling just north of 1.3450. An extended bull run will see the pair set for a re-challenge of early September's peak of 1.3695.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3524
Today Daily Change0.0070
Today Daily Change %0.52
Today daily open1.3454
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3545
Daily SMA501.3446
Daily SMA1001.34
Daily SMA2001.3461
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3492
Previous Daily Low1.3453
Previous Weekly High1.3528
Previous Weekly Low1.3379
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3468
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3477
Daily Pivot Point S11.3441
Daily Pivot Point S21.3428
Daily Pivot Point S31.3402
Daily Pivot Point R11.3479
Daily Pivot Point R21.3505
Daily Pivot Point R31.3518

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

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