US Dollar Index aims to balance above 101.80, focus shifts to hawkish Fed bets, US PMI eyed


  • The DXY is expected to resume its upside move ahead of ISM Manufacturing PMI.
  • A sudden Biden-Powell meeting indicates that the inflation ghost is for real.
  • Investors should brace for higher volatility as the US PMI is seen lower at 54.5.

The US dollar index (DXY) has remained lackluster in early Tokyo after a sheer downside move from 102.17. A failed attempt of establishment above 102.00 brought significant offers in the counter, which dragged the asset to near 101.70.

Odds of an extreme hawkish stance from the Fed advances

US President Joe Biden had a meeting with Federal Reserve (Fed) Jerome Powell on Tuesday to discuss the deployment of the quantitative measures that could tackle the strike from price pressures. Although the discussions didn’t result in a potential outcome, a sudden meeting between the top-tier officials of the US economy claims that inflation fears are real and are needed to be addressed as early as possible.

Also, Fed Governor Christopher Waller in his speech at Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability has advocated a spree of 50 basis points (bps) interest rate announcements by the Fed until it finds a substantial reduction in the inflation rate.

US ISM Manufacturing PMI

In today’s session, investors’ focus will remain on the release of the ISM Manufacturing Purchase Managers Index (PMI). A preliminary estimate of the ISM Manufacturing PMI is hinting at underperformance. The economic catalyst is expected to land at 54.5 against the prior print of 55.4.

Key events this week: ISM Manufacturing PMI, ADP Employment Change, Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and ISM Services PMI.

Major events this week:  Bank of Canada (BOC) interest rate decision, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde's speech.

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price 101.8
Today Daily Change 0.03
Today Daily Change % 0.03
Today daily open 101.77
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 103.02
Daily SMA50 101.45
Daily SMA100 99.1
Daily SMA200 96.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 102.17
Previous Daily Low 101.35
Previous Weekly High 102.96
Previous Weekly Low 101.43
Previous Monthly High 105.01
Previous Monthly Low 101.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 101.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 101.67
Daily Pivot Point S1 101.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 100.95
Daily Pivot Point S3 100.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 102.18
Daily Pivot Point R2 102.58
Daily Pivot Point R3 102.99

 

 

 

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