|

US Dollar edges higher ahead of US GDP data, trades near 102.40

  • US Dollar Index gains ground on higher US Treasury yields.
  • Speculation over the Fed's dovish outlook weakened the US Dollar.
  • Fed members dismissed speculations on rate cuts in the first quarter of 2024.
  • The improved US data provided support for the Greenback.

US Dollar Index (DXY) attempts to extend its gains on the second successive day, trading slightly higher near 102.40 during the European session on Thursday. The uptick in US Treasury yields might have ignited the strength of the US Dollar (USD). The 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons stand higher at 4.37% and 3.86%, respectively, as of the latest update.

However, the Greenback received downward pressure due to the market sentiment about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish outlook over the interest rate trajectory in the first quarter of 2024. Several Fed members have dismissed the premature speculations of interest rate cuts any time sooner. New York Fed President John Williams has outright opposed the idea, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly considers predictions on policy stance as premature. Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed President, shares a similar sentiment, cautioning that the market's optimism for rate cuts might be exceeding realistic expectations.

A resurgence in existing home sales and a significant boost in consumer confidence serve as positive indicators for the United States (US) economy, and might have lent support for the US Dollar. November's US Existing Home Sales Change showed a noteworthy monthly increase of 0.8%, marking a substantial recovery from the preceding decline of 4.1%. The CB Consumer Confidence witnessed remarkable growth., registering its most significant increase since early 2021, climbing from 101.0 to 110.07.

Investors are poised to closely watch crucial economic releases during the North American session to gain deeper insights into the state of the US economy. Among these, notable indicators include US Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q3), Initial Jobless Claims, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.

Dollar Index Spot: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price102.41
Today Daily Change-0.02
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open102.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.23
Daily SMA50104.66
Daily SMA100104.61
Daily SMA200103.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High102.54
Previous Daily Low102.09
Previous Weekly High104.27
Previous Weekly Low101.77
Previous Monthly High107.11
Previous Monthly Low102.47
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%102.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%102.27
Daily Pivot Point S1102.17
Daily Pivot Point S2101.91
Daily Pivot Point S3101.72
Daily Pivot Point R1102.62
Daily Pivot Point R2102.8
Daily Pivot Point R3103.07

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold advances above $4,350 amid renewed geopolitical tensions

Gold is rising back above $4,350 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.