|

US Dollar edges higher ahead of US GDP data, trades near 102.40

  • US Dollar Index gains ground on higher US Treasury yields.
  • Speculation over the Fed's dovish outlook weakened the US Dollar.
  • Fed members dismissed speculations on rate cuts in the first quarter of 2024.
  • The improved US data provided support for the Greenback.

US Dollar Index (DXY) attempts to extend its gains on the second successive day, trading slightly higher near 102.40 during the European session on Thursday. The uptick in US Treasury yields might have ignited the strength of the US Dollar (USD). The 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons stand higher at 4.37% and 3.86%, respectively, as of the latest update.

However, the Greenback received downward pressure due to the market sentiment about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish outlook over the interest rate trajectory in the first quarter of 2024. Several Fed members have dismissed the premature speculations of interest rate cuts any time sooner. New York Fed President John Williams has outright opposed the idea, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly considers predictions on policy stance as premature. Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed President, shares a similar sentiment, cautioning that the market's optimism for rate cuts might be exceeding realistic expectations.

A resurgence in existing home sales and a significant boost in consumer confidence serve as positive indicators for the United States (US) economy, and might have lent support for the US Dollar. November's US Existing Home Sales Change showed a noteworthy monthly increase of 0.8%, marking a substantial recovery from the preceding decline of 4.1%. The CB Consumer Confidence witnessed remarkable growth., registering its most significant increase since early 2021, climbing from 101.0 to 110.07.

Investors are poised to closely watch crucial economic releases during the North American session to gain deeper insights into the state of the US economy. Among these, notable indicators include US Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q3), Initial Jobless Claims, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.

Dollar Index Spot: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price102.41
Today Daily Change-0.02
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open102.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.23
Daily SMA50104.66
Daily SMA100104.61
Daily SMA200103.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High102.54
Previous Daily Low102.09
Previous Weekly High104.27
Previous Weekly Low101.77
Previous Monthly High107.11
Previous Monthly Low102.47
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%102.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%102.27
Daily Pivot Point S1102.17
Daily Pivot Point S2101.91
Daily Pivot Point S3101.72
Daily Pivot Point R1102.62
Daily Pivot Point R2102.8
Daily Pivot Point R3103.07

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.