|

S&P 500 Futures repeat pre-Fed trading lull amid cautious optimism

  • S&P 500 Futures eases from the record top flashed on Tuesday.
  • Vaccine hopes join IMF’s upbeat economic growth forecast but traders turn cautious before FOMC.
  • Aussie CPI, China’s Industrial Profit flashed mixed signals to add to market’s confusion.

S&P 500 Futures drop to 3,841, down 0.02% intraday, during Wednesday’s Asian session. The risk barometer refreshed record top the previous day as comments from US President Joe Biden and global vaccine manufacturers favored risks. Also supporting the mood was an upwardly revised global growth forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Though, trader’s caution before 2021’s first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision joins mixed economics to challenge the market moves.

Following signals that the covid variants can be cured by global vaccine producers and there are welcome results of vaccinations, US President Biden’s comments suggesting sooner immunization backed the risk-on mood. That said, the US government is up for increasing its vaccine purchase from Moderna and Pfizer, the New York Post said.

Read: US President Biden: Recently discovered that vaccine program is in worse shape than we expected

On the contrary, uncertainty over Biden’s $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus and ex-US President Donald Trump’s impeachment challenge the mood while joining hands with the typical pre-Fed trading lull.

Also testing the market optimism were mixed data concerning Australia’s inflation and sentiment as well as China’s Industrial Production. During early Asia, Australia flashed better-than-forecast Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the fourth quarter (Q4). Though, soft Business Confidence from the National Australia Bank (NAB), following Westpac Leading Index, spoiled the mood. It should be noted that China’s Industrial Production for December grew 20.1% YoY versus 15.5% prior.

Other than the S&P 500 Futures, the US 10-year Treasury yields and stocks in Asia-Pacific also portray the market’s indecision ahead of the key event, namely the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision.

Read: Fed Preview: Fearing market froth or boosting Biden's stimulus? Three scenarios

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.