Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD trades back and forth below $23.00, Fed Powell’s speech eyed

Silver price juggles below $23.00 as focus shifts to Fed Powell’s speech.
Fed Powell is expected to provide guidance on interest rates.
Silver price struggles to sustain above the 50% Fibo retracement at $22.85.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

Silver price (XAG/USD) consolidates in a narrow range below the crucial resistance of $23.00 in the early New York session. The white metal struggles for a direction as investors await the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell.

It would be worth watching whether Fed Powell will join his teammates who are supporting keeping interest rates unchanged in the 5.25-5.50% range due to higher US bond yields or will discuss the appropriateness of some further policy-tightening.

The S&P500 opens on a cautiously positive note as investors start digesting the risks of deepening Middle East tensions. The US Dollar Index (DXY) corrects to near 106.00 ahead of Fed Powell’s dialogue on interest rates. While 10-year US Treasury yields rose to 4.94%, indicating investors expect hawkish interest rate guidance from Jerome Powell.

Meanwhile, the US Department of Labor reported a decline in weekly jobless claims for the week ending October 13. The US Department of Labor reported that individuals claimed jobless benefits for the first time in the week ending October 13 were at 198K, lower than expectations of 212K and the former release of 211K.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price struggles to sustain above the 50% Fibonacci retracement (plotted from August 30 high at $25.00 to October 03 low at $20.68) at $22.85 on a two-hour scale. The short-term bias for the white metal is bullish as it is comfortably trading above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades at $22.74.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) drops into the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating a rangebound move ahead.

Silver two-hour chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price	22.84
Today Daily Change	0.00
Today Daily Change %	0.00
Today daily open	22.84

Trends
Daily SMA20	22.23
Daily SMA50	22.91
Daily SMA100	23.31
Daily SMA200	23.33

Levels
Previous Daily High	23.32
Previous Daily Low	22.68
Previous Weekly High	22.82
Previous Weekly Low	21.57
Previous Monthly High	24.82
Previous Monthly Low	22.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	23.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	22.93
Daily Pivot Point S1	22.58
Daily Pivot Point S2	22.31
Daily Pivot Point S3	21.94
Daily Pivot Point R1	23.22
Daily Pivot Point R2	23.59
Daily Pivot Point R3	23.85

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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