|

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops below $23.00 ahead of US Headline CPI

  • Silver Price extends its losses due to recovery in the US Dollar (USD).
  • Upbeat US Treasury yields could provide support in undermining the Silver asset.
  • Elevated inflation figures could further reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone, supporting the Greenback.

Silver price continues to lose ground on the second day, trading lower around $22.90 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The pair is experiencing downward pressure due to the improved US Dollar (USD).

Additionally, the upbeat US Treasury yields contributed to underpinning the strengthening of the Greenback ahead of the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the United States (US). The yield on the US 10-year bond improved to 4.28% by the press time, snapping the recent losses.

Any inflation aberration could further reinforce the hawkish sentiment following the likelihood of a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in either the November or December meetings.

Additionally, there's an expectation that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates over an extended period. These developments could potentially lead to a rise in the US bond yields, which may negatively impact the silver prices.

US CPI is expected to exhibit a 0.5% month-on-month improvement from the previous month's reading of 0.2%. Moreover, the Core CPI figure is anticipated to remain steady at 0.2%. These figures may provide valuable insights into inflation trends in the US economy and can have a significant impact on market sentiment and trading decisions about the Silver asset.

US Dollar Index (DXY), which assesses the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of the other major six currencies, trading higher around 104.70. DXY snaps the three-day losing streak.

Moreover, the robust Greenback is expected to maintain its resilience, primarily because it has the capacity to absorb the effects of higher interest rates. This strength can make the US Dollar (USD) more attractive to investors.

XAG/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price22.89
Today Daily Change-0.18
Today Daily Change %-0.78
Today daily open23.07
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.61
Daily SMA5023.74
Daily SMA10023.8
Daily SMA20023.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.18
Previous Daily Low22.83
Previous Weekly High24.3
Previous Weekly Low22.83
Previous Monthly High25.02
Previous Monthly Low22.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.05
Daily Pivot Point S122.88
Daily Pivot Point S222.68
Daily Pivot Point S322.52
Daily Pivot Point R123.23
Daily Pivot Point R223.38
Daily Pivot Point R323.58

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.