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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD trims a part of intraday losses to one-week lows

  • Silver witnessed some follow-through selling for the third successive day.
  • Slightly oversold RSI on the 1-hour chart helped limit any further losses.
  • The technical set-up still remains tilted firmly in favour of bearish traders.

Silver extended its recent pullback from the vicinity of the 50% Fibonacci level of a sharp fall from monthly swing highs and edged lower for the third successive day.

The downward momentum dragged the commodity to one-week lows, around the $23.15 region during the early part of the trading action on Thursday. However, oversold RSI (14) on the 1-hour chart assisted the XAG/USD to find some support near the 23.6% Fibo. level and trim a part of its intraday losses.

Looking at the broader technical picture,  sustained weakness below the $23.50-45 confluence region – comprising of 38.2% Fibo. level and 100-hour SMA – was seen as a key trigger for bearish traders. This might have also set the stage for an extension of the ongoing downward trajectory.

The bearish outlook is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on 4-hour/daily charts are holding deep in the bearish territory and are still shy of being in the oversold zone. Hence, any meaningful recovery attempt might still be seen as an opportunity for bearish traders.

From current levels, the daily swing lows, around the 23.15 region might protect the immediate downside. Some follow-through selling below the $23.00 mark will set the stage for a slide back towards challenging YTD lows, around the $22.20 region touched last Monday.

On the flip side, the $23.45-50 confluence support breakpoint now seems to act as an immediate strong hurdle. A sustained move beyond might trigger a short-covering move and push the XAG/USD back towards the $23.90-$24.00 region (38.2% Fibo.), which should now cap the upside.

Silver 1-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.34
Today Daily Change-0.18
Today Daily Change %-0.77
Today daily open23.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.53
Daily SMA5025.55
Daily SMA10026.13
Daily SMA20025.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.83
Previous Daily Low23.29
Previous Weekly High24.37
Previous Weekly Low22.17
Previous Monthly High26.78
Previous Monthly Low24.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.62
Daily Pivot Point S123.26
Daily Pivot Point S223.01
Daily Pivot Point S322.73
Daily Pivot Point R123.8
Daily Pivot Point R224.08
Daily Pivot Point R324.33

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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