|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD resiliently rebounds, claims $23.00 amidst high US bond yields

  • Silver price returns from two-month lows, crosses the 200-day EMA and $23 threshold and ends the week with a 2.89% loss.
  • Despite US data supporting another Fed rate hike and subsequent rise in Treasury bond yields, silver price sustains an upward trajectory, targeting the 100-day EMA.
  • With the Relative Strength Index indicating potential silver weakness, downside risk remains.

Silver price bounces off two-month-lows hit at $22.68, rallies sharply, and claims the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $22.82 and the $23.00 psychological figure on Friday’s mid-North American session. Although the white metal is gaining more than 1.90%, it is set to finish the week with losses of 2.89%. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading at $23.15.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD technical outlook

Even though economic data from the United States (US) justifies another rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Therefore, US Treasury bond yields are rising, underpinning the greenback. However, the XAG/USD ignored most factors that could drag the price low and rip higher, eyeing the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $23.47.

Nevertheless, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bearish territory, warranting further Silver weakness, while the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) has yet to reach neutral levels. Therefore, additional downside could be expected.

However, if XAG/USD clears the 100-day EMA, it would face sold resistance at the confluence of the 20 and 50-day EMAs at around $23.97-24.00. Once broken, the next supply zone would be the $25.00 mark.

On the flip side, and the path of least resistance in the near term, the XAG/USD first support would be $23.00, followed by $22.68, the current week’s low. A beach of the latter will expose the March 21 swing low of $22.14.

Silver Price Action – Daily chart

XAG/USD Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.25
Today Daily Change0.51
Today Daily Change %2.24
Today daily open22.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.47
Daily SMA5024.34
Daily SMA10023.36
Daily SMA20022
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.15
Previous Daily Low22.7
Previous Weekly High24.21
Previous Weekly Low23.33
Previous Monthly High26.09
Previous Monthly Low23.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.98
Daily Pivot Point S122.58
Daily Pivot Point S222.42
Daily Pivot Point S322.13
Daily Pivot Point R123.03
Daily Pivot Point R223.32
Daily Pivot Point R323.48

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.