|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD clears losses gains after Powell's words

  • XAG/USD found support at a low of around $22.55 and recovered to $22.90 clearing more than 1% of losses.
  • The Fed decided to hold rates at the 5.25-5.50% range.
  • Powell signalled that the end of the rate hike cycle is near.
  • Falling US Treasury yields allowed the metal to find demand.

In Wednesday's session, the XAG/USD faced selling pressure, but Chair Powell's dovish words made the grey metal reverse its course towards $22.90, and at the time of writing, it is up by 0.20% on the day.

After the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced it would hold rates at the 5.25-5.50% range, Chair Powell sounded somewhat hawkish at the beginning of his presser that he would take into account the tighter financial conditions and the cumulative effects of the monetary policy for the next December decision. In addition, he welcomed the decelerating inflation and job creation figures, but he pointed out he still needs more data points to feel confident that the bank's job is done. That being said, he then commented that the Fed had come very far with this rate-hike cycle and that is close to its end, which triggered a wave of risk-on flows benefiting the Silver's price.

 In addition, US Treasury yields are sharply falling, with the 2-year rate falling below 5%, down by more than 2%, while the 5 and 10-year rates declined to 4.67% and 4.75%.

Focus now shifts to Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report and next week's inflation readings from October for investors to continue placing their bets on the next decisions.

XAG/USD Levels to watch 

Analyzing the daily chart, it is apparent that the XAG/USD has a neutral to bearish technical stance, with the metal trading below the 200 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) turned flat after the momentum gained during the American session and despite bullish momentum being limited, the metal holds above the 20-day average which could act as a support for the next sessions.

 Support levels: $22.55,$22.30,$22.15.

 Resistance levels: $23.00,$23.20-30 (200 and 100-day convergence),$23.50

XAG/USD Daily Chart
 

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.58
Today Daily Change-0.30
Today Daily Change %-1.31
Today daily open22.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.47
Daily SMA5022.96
Daily SMA10023.23
Daily SMA20023.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.33
Previous Daily Low22.74
Previous Weekly High23.36
Previous Weekly Low22.44
Previous Monthly High23.7
Previous Monthly Low20.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.1
Daily Pivot Point S122.63
Daily Pivot Point S222.39
Daily Pivot Point S322.04
Daily Pivot Point R123.23
Daily Pivot Point R223.58
Daily Pivot Point R323.83

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Recovery appears capped by 0.7000

AUD/USD has reversed a multi-day positive streak, briefly revisiting the 0.6940 region before trimming part of those gains to end the day modestly on the back foot. The better tone in the Greenback has kept the pair under pressure, which has so far met decent contention in the vicinity of the 0.6900 zone. Moving forward, the Melbourne Institute’s Consumer Inflation Expectations is next on tap in Oz.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,100

Gold now manages to regain some balance, returning to the area above the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce following the closing bell in Europe on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s sharp pullback comes in tandem with marked gains in the US Dollar and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC and XAU fall amid macro headwinds, but Ray Dalio still prefers Gold
Bitcoin (BTC) edges lower on Wednesday, trading near $83,000. The broader correction in the cryptocurrency market can be attributed to heavily leveraged long liquidations, macro and geopolitical pressure reducing risk appetite. Gold (XAU/USD), similarly, remains in bearish hands as it tests short-term support at $4,100.
Fed Minutes: Officials saw inflation risks worsening before September hike
All participants at the Federal Reserve's (Fed) September 15–16 meeting supported the 25-basis-point rate increase, while most judged that another hike would probably be appropriate by the end of the year. The Minutes show policymakers increasingly focused on upside inflation risks, a resilient economy and the possibility that strong AI investment could add to demand pressures.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.