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RBA likely to keep interest rates on hold in 2020 - Goldman Sachs

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is likely to keep interest rates unchanged at a record low of 0.75% through 2020, unless there is a steady rise in the unemployment rate over a couple of months, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. 

Other investment banks like Westpac, Commonwealth Bank of Australia expect the RBA to cut rates to 0.5% in the second quarter.

Key quote

Rates on hold in 2020 now look to us the most likely scenario - particularly given Governor Lowe's renewed concerns around low rates, house prices & financial stability.

Goldman Sachs has downgraded its first-quarter GDP growth forecast for Australia to 2.4% from 2.7%, citing bushfire and coronavirus drag. The risks to that forecasts are skewed to the downside, the investment bank said.
 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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