|

Palladium Price Analysis: XPD/USD faces stiff resistance at $2715, upside still favored

  • XPD/USD confirmed a symmetrical triangle breakout on the 1D chart.
  • Palladium’s 4H chart shows strong offers placed near the $2715 region.
  • However, bulls continue to keep their sight on the $2800 mark.

Palladium (XPD/USD) is consolidating below the monthly highs of $2711 reached on Tuesday, as the bulls gather steam for the next leg higher.

In doing so, the price of Palladium has turned negative for the first time in five days, suggesting that it could likely be bullish exhaustion before the uptrend resumes towards $2800.

Price of Palladium

As explained here, the white metal did confirm a symmetrical triangle breakout on the daily chart a day before. XPD/USD, therefore, remains on track to reach the $2800 threshold.

Palladium price chart: Daily

Palladium price chart: Four-hour

However, looking at a shorter duration chart, i.e, the four-hour chart, it can be seen that the XPD bulls are having a hard time taking out the strong barrier at $2715.

This level has limited the uptrend for now, where the rising wedge resistance lies. Note that the price is wavering within a rising wedge formation on the given time frame since end-March.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has edged lower, currently at 61.36, suggesting weakening upside momentum.

But the bullish crossover, with the 21-simple moving average (SMA) climbing above the 50-SMA, keeps the buyers hopeful.  

A four-hour candlestick closing above the mentioned hurdle is needed to resume the northwards journey towards March highs of $2756, beyond which the $2800 level could be probed.

On the flip side, sellers could target the bullish 21-SMA at $2667 if the bearish pressures intensify.

Further south, fierce support at $2638 could offer some reprieve to the bulls. At that point, the upward-sloping 100-SMA coincides with the rising trendline support.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold extends rally as Middle East concerns intensify

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
US – Fed preview: A divided hold
The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.