NZD/USD retreats further multi-month highs, slide below mid-0.7200s


  • NZD/USD witnessed some heavy selling on Friday and snapped four days of the winning streak.
  • Surging US bond yields helped revive the USD demand and prompted long-unwinding trade.
  • The risk-on mood might help limit losses ahead of Friday’s release of the key US inflation data.

The NZD/USD pair continued losing ground heading into the European session and dropped to fresh daily lows, around the 0.7240 region in the last hour.

Having struggled to find acceptance above the 0.7300 mark, the pair witnessed some heavy selling on the last day of the week and snapped four consecutive days of the winning streak. The sharp fall was exclusively sponsored by a modest pickup in the US dollar demand, which found some support from the overnight upsurge in the US Treasury bond yields.

Long-dated US Treasuries sold off on Thursday in reaction to mostly upbeat US economic data and reports that US President Joe Biden will announce a $6 trillion budget for the fiscal year 2022. This further stoked worries about rising inflationary pressure, which might force the Fed to act faster and tighten its monetary policy sooner rather than later.

The global markets cheered the Biden administration’s multi-trillion spending plan, which was evident from an extension of a strong rally in the global equity markets. This might extend some support to the perceived riskier kiwi and help limit any further losses for the NZD/USD pair ahead of Friday's release of the key inflation data from the US.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – the core PCE Price Index later this Friday. This, along with the US stimulus headline, will drive the US bond yields and influence the USD. Traders might further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment to grab some short-term opportunities around the NZD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7249
Today Daily Change -0.0043
Today Daily Change % -0.59
Today daily open 0.7292
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7219
Daily SMA50 0.7145
Daily SMA100 0.7179
Daily SMA200 0.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7312
Previous Daily Low 0.7266
Previous Weekly High 0.7272
Previous Weekly Low 0.7151
Previous Monthly High 0.7287
Previous Monthly Low 0.6945
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7294
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7284
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7268
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7244
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7222
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7314
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7336
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.736

 

 

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