|

NZD/USD rebounds from 0.6000, downside remains favored on soaring hawkish Fed bets

  • NZD/USD is expected to display more weakness after the conclusion of the short-lived pullback.
  • Solid US ISM Services PMI data backed the DXY for printing a fresh two-decade high at 110.65.
  • A hawkish stance on interest rates is expected by Fed Powell in his speech on Thursday.

The NZD/USD pair is displaying a less-confident pullback after hitting the psychological support of 0.6000 in the Asian session. The asset has remained in the grip of bears and is likely to display more weakness amid a broader strength in the US dollar index (DXY). In today’s session, the major witnessed a vertical fall after surrendering the crucial support of 0.6035.

The DXY has printed a fresh two-decade high at 110.65 as the release of an upbeat US ISM Services PMI infused adrenaline rush into the bulls. The Non-Manufacturing ISM data landed at 56.9, higher than the estimates and the prior release of 55.1 and 56.7 respectively.

This week, the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell will remain in the limelight. Fed Powell is expected to provide clues about the likely monetary policy action this month. It is highly likely that a ‘hawkish’ stance will be adopted on interest rates as solid US fundamentals have provided more room to the Fed for hiking interest rates unhesitatingly. Decent employment generation, stable manufacturing activities, and solid Services PMI have delighted Fed policymakers to sound hawkish without any hesitation.

On the NZ front, downbeat China’s trade balance data has weakened the kiwi bulls. Chinese imports have landed extremely lower at 0.3% against the expectations and the former release of 1.1% and 2.3% respectively.  Also, the export data have been trimmed to 7.1% vs. estimates of 12.8%. China’s Trade Balance has slipped sharply to $79.39B against the expectations of $92.7B. It is worth noting that New Zealand is a leading trading partner of China and weaker Chinese imports are capable to weaken the antipodean.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.601
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open0.6038
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6222
Daily SMA500.622
Daily SMA1000.6324
Daily SMA2000.6554
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6129
Previous Daily Low0.6034
Previous Weekly High0.6195
Previous Weekly Low0.605
Previous Monthly High0.647
Previous Monthly Low0.6101
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.607
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6093
Daily Pivot Point S10.6005
Daily Pivot Point S20.5972
Daily Pivot Point S30.591
Daily Pivot Point R10.61
Daily Pivot Point R20.6162
Daily Pivot Point R30.6195

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.