- NZD/USD recoils to 0.6021 after reaching a weekly peak, influenced by a strengthening USD.
- US PPI data exceeds expectations, introducing a complex layer to the ongoing inflation dialogue.
- Contrasting stances among Fed officials and RBNZ’s rate would keep NZD/USD traders uncertain.
NZD/USD retreats after hitting a weekly high of 0.6055 due to a mixed market impulse witnessed in the North American session that bolstered appetite for the Greenback (USD). Speculations of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) forgetting a rate hike, as dovish comments and neutral postures amongst officials emerged. The pair exchanges hands at around 0.6021.
Kiwi Dollar tempers gain as USD was bolstered by US PPI data
US economic data revealed by the Department of Labor (DoL) showed that September’s inflation in the producer side was higher than expected and, in some cases, above August’s figures. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 2.2% YoY, exceeding August and forecasts of 1.6%, while the core PPI rose by 2.7%, above projections and the previous month.
Recently, Federal Reserve officials have adopted a neutral stance; of late, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the US central bank can watch and see developments on rates, adding that financial markets tightening “would do some of the work for us.” Earlier, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that she favors another rate hike as inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target.
Given the backdrop, money market futures do not expect another rate hike by the Fed, as shown by the CME FedWatch Tool.
On the New Zealand (NZ) front, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) decision to keep rates unchanged at 5.5% could undermine its appeal. The RBNZ said that rates need to be maintained at a restrictive level.
NZD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook
The NZD/USD daily chart portrays the pair as neutral to downward biased after testing the latest cycle high of 0.6048, which was briefly pierced and could pave the way to test 0.6100. if the pair decisively breaks the latter, that could pave the way to test the 200-day moving average (DMA). Despite challenging 0.6048, price action in the last couple of days is forming a bearish harami candlestick chart pattern, which, if confirmed, could open the door for the BZD/USD to dive below 0.6000.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150
EUR/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly above 1.1150 on Friday. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases, comments from central bank officials and the risk mood could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains
GBP/USD trades modestly higher on the day near 1.3300, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for August. The pair remains on track to end the week, which featured Fed and BoE policy decisions, with strong gains.
Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610
Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its bullish momentum and trades at a new all-time high above $2,610 on Friday. Heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and slashing rates lift XAU/USD.
Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap
SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.