NZD/USD Price Analysis: Volatility squeezes broadly amid a light economic calendar


  • NZD/USD has turned sideways broadly amid an absence of a potential trigger.
  • The US Dollar Index has resumed its downside journey after a less-confident pullback move to near 104.00.
  • NZD/USD is auctioning in a Symmetrical Triangle that indicates a contraction in volatility.

The NZD/USD pair is demonstrating topsy-turvy moves in the early New York session. The Kiwi asset is auctioning in a tight range as investors are divided about the Federal Reserve (Fed)’s interest rate policy for June.

While the United States' solid labor market conditions are propelling the continuation of the rate-hiking spell by the Fed, deteriorating economic activities are telling a different story. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed its downside journey after a less-confident pullback move to near 104.00.

The risk-on market mood has improved the appeal of the risk-perceived assets.

NZD/USD is auctioning in a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern that indicates a contraction in volatility, which is followed by wider ticks and heavy volume after an explosion. The upward-sloping trendline of the aforementioned chart pattern is plotted from June 05 low at 0.6041 while the downward-sloping trendline is placed from June 02 high at 0.6112.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6075 seems sticky to the asset, indicating a sideways performance.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has been confined into the 40.00-60.00 range, which signals that investors are awaiting a fresh trigger for a decisive move.

A confident break above May 25 high at 0.6110 will drive the Kiwi asset toward May 01 low at 0.6160 followed by the round-level resistance at 0.6200.

Alternatively, a downside move below the intraday low at 0.6015 will expose the asset for a fresh six-month low toward 11 November 2022 low at 0.5984. A slippage below the latter would expose the asset toward 02 November 2022 high at 0.5941.

NZD/USD hourly chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6067
Today Daily Change -0.0011
Today Daily Change % -0.18
Today daily open 0.6078
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6154
Daily SMA50 0.6198
Daily SMA100 0.6244
Daily SMA200 0.6149
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.61
Previous Daily Low 0.6045
Previous Weekly High 0.6112
Previous Weekly Low 0.5985
Previous Monthly High 0.6385
Previous Monthly Low 0.5985
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6079
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6066
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6049
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6019
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5993
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6104
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.613
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.616

 

 

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