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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Rebounds from 0.6150 support confluence but 200-EMA, US NFP will prod Kiwi bulls

  • NZD/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday high, prints the first daily gain in three.
  • Convergence of 21-EMA, four-month-old rising trend line puts a floor under Kiwi price.
  • Seven-week-old symmetrical triangle limits short-term moves, 200-EMA adds to upside filters.
  • Sellers have a bumpy road towards the south unless breaking 0.5985; US NFP eyed.

NZD/USD refreshes intraday high around 0.6165 as it reverses losses made in the last two days amid early Friday in Auckland. In doing so, the Kiwi pair bounces off a short-term key support confluence comprising the 21-Exponential Moving Average (EMA), as well as an upward-sloping support line from early March.

The latest rebound of the Antipodeans can be considered as the positioning for the US employment report for June, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). That said, the bullish MACD signals also underpin the pair’s recovery.

Also read: NZD/USD slides towards 0.6155 following strong US data

However, a seven-week-old symmetrical triangle, currently between 0.6210 and 0.6065, restricts the NZD/USD pair’s short-term moves.

Even if the quote defies the triangle formation by crossing the 0.6210 hurdle, the 200-EMA level of around 0.6220 will challenge the pair buyers before giving them control.

It’s worth noting that the US jobs report need to support the quote’s upside break of the 200-EMA to convince the NZD/USD bulls.

On the flip side, a daily closing below the 0.6150 support confluence comprising the 21-EMA and the aforementioned multi-day-old rising trend line could drag the quote towards the 0.6100 round figure before directing it to the stated triangle’s bottom line surrounding 0.6065.

Following that, multiple supports near 0.6030, the 0.6000 psychological magnet and the yearly low marked in May around 0.5985 could challenge the NZD/USD bears.

NZD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6167
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.19%
Today daily open0.6179
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6157
Daily SMA500.6169
Daily SMA1000.619
Daily SMA2000.6169
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6208
Previous Daily Low0.6175
Previous Weekly High0.6202
Previous Weekly Low0.605
Previous Monthly High0.625
Previous Monthly Low0.599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6188
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6195
Daily Pivot Point S10.6167
Daily Pivot Point S20.6154
Daily Pivot Point S30.6134
Daily Pivot Point R10.62
Daily Pivot Point R20.622
Daily Pivot Point R30.6233

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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