NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pares RBNZ-inspired gains below 0.6200 as Governor Orr utters recession


  • NZD/USD fades upside momentum inside one-week-old trading range.
  • RBNZ announced 75 bps rate hike, Governor Orr expects shallow recession.
  • Bulls remain hopeful as convergence of the six-week-old ascending trend line, 200-EMA appears a tough nut to crack for sellers.
  • Late August high could lure buyers past 0.6206.

NZD/USD retreats from intraday high surrounding 0.6200 to 0.6166 during early Wednesday as bulls run out of steam on the latest commentary from Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Adrian Orr.

Also read: RBNZ’s Orr: It will be a brief recession

Even so, the Kiwi pair remains inside an eight-day-long symmetrical formation and keeps the buyers hopeful.

Also suggesting the NZD/USD pair’s further upside are the bullish signals from the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator, as well as the steady Relative Strength Index (RSI) placed at 14.

That said, the 50-EMA level surrounding 0.6100 offers immediate support to the quote ahead of the aforementioned trading range’s bottom, near 0.6060.

Following that, the 200-EMA and an upward-sloping trend line from October 10, close to 0.5945, becomes crucial for NZD/USD sellers to retake control.

Alternatively, an upside clearance of 0.6206 could direct the pair buyers toward the late August high surrounding 0.6255.

However, the NZD/USD pair’s successful run-up beyond 0.6255 will enable the bulls to aim for the August month’s peak near 0.6470.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.6167
Today Daily Change 0.0015
Today Daily Change % 0.24%
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.5972
Daily SMA50 0.5827
Daily SMA100 0.6017
Daily SMA200 0.6307
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6163
Previous Daily Low 0.6093
Previous Weekly High 0.6206
Previous Weekly Low 0.6062
Previous Monthly High 0.5874
Previous Monthly Low 0.5512
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6136
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.612
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.611
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6067
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.604
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6179
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6206
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6249

 

 

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