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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pares RBNZ-inspired gains below 0.6200 as Governor Orr utters recession

  • NZD/USD fades upside momentum inside one-week-old trading range.
  • RBNZ announced 75 bps rate hike, Governor Orr expects shallow recession.
  • Bulls remain hopeful as convergence of the six-week-old ascending trend line, 200-EMA appears a tough nut to crack for sellers.
  • Late August high could lure buyers past 0.6206.

NZD/USD retreats from intraday high surrounding 0.6200 to 0.6166 during early Wednesday as bulls run out of steam on the latest commentary from Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Adrian Orr.

Also read: RBNZ’s Orr: It will be a brief recession

Even so, the Kiwi pair remains inside an eight-day-long symmetrical formation and keeps the buyers hopeful.

Also suggesting the NZD/USD pair’s further upside are the bullish signals from the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator, as well as the steady Relative Strength Index (RSI) placed at 14.

That said, the 50-EMA level surrounding 0.6100 offers immediate support to the quote ahead of the aforementioned trading range’s bottom, near 0.6060.

Following that, the 200-EMA and an upward-sloping trend line from October 10, close to 0.5945, becomes crucial for NZD/USD sellers to retake control.

Alternatively, an upside clearance of 0.6206 could direct the pair buyers toward the late August high surrounding 0.6255.

However, the NZD/USD pair’s successful run-up beyond 0.6255 will enable the bulls to aim for the August month’s peak near 0.6470.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6167
Today Daily Change0.0015
Today Daily Change %0.24%
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5972
Daily SMA500.5827
Daily SMA1000.6017
Daily SMA2000.6307
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6163
Previous Daily Low0.6093
Previous Weekly High0.6206
Previous Weekly Low0.6062
Previous Monthly High0.5874
Previous Monthly Low0.5512
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6136
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.612
Daily Pivot Point S10.611
Daily Pivot Point S20.6067
Daily Pivot Point S30.604
Daily Pivot Point R10.6179
Daily Pivot Point R20.6206
Daily Pivot Point R30.6249

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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