Gold to average at $ 1435 in H2 2019 – Morgan Stanley

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Analysts at Morgan Stanley raises their gold price forecast for the second half of this year and the year after, in the face of the dovish Fed rate expectations, broad dollar weakness, global economic slowdown and falling US rates.

Key Quotes:

“Real yields close to zero would reduce demand for yielding USD assets.

Could increase the demand for gold.

The negative territory could generate considerable further upside for gold's price.

Gold price forecast to average USD 1,435 in H2 of this year and USD1,338 in 2020.

Strong price through H1 2020, then stabilizing, lower as rates are kept on hold, economic activity recovers.

Risks to view are skewed to the upside.

Fed is seen cutting rates by a 50bp in July.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 as USD demand surges

GBP/USD extends its intraday slide and closes in on 1.3300 in the American session on Thursday. The pair remains under heavy bearish pressure as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

EUR/USD drops toward 1.1350 post ECB decision

EUR/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure in the second half of the day on Thursday and trades at its lowest level in three weeks below 1.1370. The ECB's cautious tone on policy tightening in the near future and the broad-based US Dollar (USD) strength on risk-aversion drag the pair lower.

Gold trims gains, dips to $4,050

Gold keeps retreating on Thursday, trading well below $4,100 early in the American session. US crude oil prices climb to a fresh six-week high above $90 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Fed interest rate hike expectations. Hawkish Fed bets weigh negatively on the yieldless bullion.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP trades sideways as Ripple targets 10 million agentic AI transactions

Ripple (XRP) is losing momentum on Thursday, albeit gradually, trading above $1.13. The remittance token tagged a weekly high of $1.16 on Tuesday, with gains mainly attributed to developments on the United States (US) Clarity Act and recent signs that inflation is easing in the world’s largest economy.

Bitcoin falls as surging Oil prices revive inflation concerns

Bitcoin extends its correction, trading below $65,800 after a modest decline in the previous day. Despite BTC’s fading strength, US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds continued to attract institutional inflows on Wednesday, marking the seventh consecutive day of gains.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?

The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.