ANZ analysts point out that gold has benefitted from its safe haven status amid deteriorating macroeconomic outlook and see prices settling above USD1,400/oz, with a reasonable chance of breaking USD1,500/oz over the next 12 months.

Key Quotes

“A macro backdrop is emerging that will see gold prices remaining resilient. With the Fed ending its hike cycle and turning dovish with signals of rate cuts, the backdrop is turning supportive in 2H and beyond. A likely rate cut amid slowing economic growth will limit the upside in the US dollar and also lower the opportunity cost for holding non-yielding assets like gold.”

“Further, renewed trade tension has started affecting business sentiment and this will have a negative implication on corporate earnings. Such a backdrop can bring equity market volatility back, and a lower correlation of gold serves as a perfect risk diversifier to limit the portfolio losses.”

“Supply-demand fundamentals are turning supportive as well with slowing mine-supply growth and improving physical take-off. Central bank purchase is becoming a major source of demand; and this is likely to absorb 10-13% of total supply.”

“The key risk to our view is if a US-China trade deal is reached. This would significantly reduce the risks to the global economy and lower rates by central banks. However, this is not our base case, with tension likely to remain for the foreseeable future.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD mute just above 1.1200, waiting for a signal

The EUR/USD pair is stable and confined to a tight intraday range, unable to run, despite upbeat EU inflation and disappointing US housing figures. Dismal market’s mood backing the greenback without boosting it.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD bounced from fresh yearly lows at 1.2381

Sterling remains depressed amid Brexit jitters pushing investors away from the currency. UK data did not help as inflation met the market’s expectations in June.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY consolidates in a range, comfortably above 108.00 handle

Reviving safe-haven demand underpins JPY and exerts some pressure. Renewed weakness in the US bond yields further weighed on the USD. The downside remains limited amid tempered Fed rate cut expectations.

USD/JPY News

Gold: Yellow metal gets intraday boost above the 1,400.00 figure

Gold is currently consolidating gains in a triangle above its main daily simple moving averages (DSMAs). The market is trading above the 1,400.00 mark and the main SMAs suggesting bullish momentum in the medium term.

Gold News

Forex Today: US dollar corrects, US-Japan eye a trade deal, and Bitcoin bounces

US dollar reverses a part of Tuesday’s US retail sales data-led rally. US-Japan are working towards a trade deal by September. Bitcoin recovers, but remains below the 10k mark.

Read more

MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures


  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •