Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades on weaker note below $2,300 ahead of US NFP data


  • Gold price loses traction near $2,285 in Friday’s early Asian session. 
  • The US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended March 30 went up to a two-month high. 
  • The escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions might lift the safe-haven flows, benefiting gold price. 
  • The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings will be the highlights on Friday.

Gold Price (XAU/USD) edges lower to $2,285 during the early Asian session on Friday after reaching another fresh record high above $2,300 in the previous session. The ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and the expectation of monetary policy easing from the Federal Reserve (Fed) might lift the yellow metal. Market players await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for March on Friday for fresh impetus, which is expected to see 200K jobs added in March. 

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, recovers to 104.20, bouncing off two-week lows of 103.90. The US Treasury bond yields edge lower, with the 10-year yield falling to 4.30%. 

On Thursday, the US Initial Jobless Claims last week went up to the highest level since January, according to the Labor Department. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits climbed to 221K for the week ended March 30 compared to the previous week of 212K, worse than the estimation of 214K. Meanwhile, Continuing Claims dropped to 1.791M in the week ending March 23. 

The Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the policy rate is likely at its peak in the current cycle while adding that FOMC policymakers see it’s appropriate to begin cutting the policy rate if the economy evolves as the Fed expects. These dovish comments create a tailwind for the precious metal.

Furthermore, the Guardian reported late Thursday that Israel has postponed leave for combat troops and increased its air defense command to prepare for any Iranian missile or drone attacks after the recent bombing in Syria killed two Iranian military commanders. The rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might boost traditional safe-haven asset like gold in the near term. 

Moving on, the US employment data for March, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings will be in the spotlight on Friday. The stronger outcome might provide some support to the Greenback and cap the upside of USD-denominated gold. 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2284.08
Today Daily Change -6.93
Today Daily Change % -0.30
Today daily open 2291.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2196.34
Daily SMA50 2101.61
Daily SMA100 2064.83
Daily SMA200 1996.65
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2305.67
Previous Daily Low 2280.06
Previous Weekly High 2236.27
Previous Weekly Low 2163.6
Previous Monthly High 2236.27
Previous Monthly Low 2039.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2289.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2295.89
Daily Pivot Point S1 2278.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 2266.64
Daily Pivot Point S3 2253.21
Daily Pivot Point R1 2304.43
Daily Pivot Point R2 2317.86
Daily Pivot Point R3 2330.04

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data

EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data

EUR/USD manages to hold in positive territory above 1.0750 despite retreating from the fresh multi-week high it set above 1.0800 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following the weaker-than-expected NFP data.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge

GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge

GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2550 in the American session. Earlier in the day, the disappointing April jobs report from the US triggered a USD selloff and allowed the pair to reach multi-week highs above 1.2600.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields

Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields

Gold stays on the back foot below $2,300 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.6% after weak US data but the improving risk mood doesn't allow XAU/USD to gain traction.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here? Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here?

Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.

Read more

Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week

Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week

Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures