Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sticks to the range-bound trades below $2,030, eyes on US CPI data


  • Gold price clings to the range-bound theme around $2,025 on Monday.  
  • Several Fed officials agreed that the FOMC needs time to assess economic data before cutting rates. 
  • The rising Middle East geopolitical tensions after Israel rejected a ceasefire offer from Hamas might lift the gold price.
  • Gold traders await the US January CPI inflation data on Tuesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) oscillates in a narrow trading range of $2,020-$2,040 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The significant move in gold is unlikely amid an uncertain outlook on rates. The Japanese market is closed for the National Day holiday, while Hong Kong, Singapore, and mainland China markets are closed for the Lunar New Year holiday. Gold price currently trades near $2,025, down 0.02% on the day.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said last week that while the central bank wants to see continued strong growth, a strong economy does threaten to send inflation up. Meanwhile, several Fed officials stated they want more time to see if inflation continues to subside. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Boston Fed President Susan Collins agreed that the FOMC has time to assess economic data before cutting rates. 

Market players will take more cues from the US January inflation data, due on Tuesday. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January is expected to slow from 3.4% in December to 3.0% in January. The inflation reports over the next few months could be key in determining the timeline for when the Fed will cut its benchmark interest rate.

Apart from this, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East after Israel rejected a ceasefire offer from Hamas might boost traditional safe-haven assets like gold. However, the upside of yellow metal might be capped if the Chinese economy shows signs of worsening. Last week, China's consumer prices plummeted at the fastest rate in 15 years in January, highlighting the challenge for officials attempting to restore investor confidence in the world's second-largest economy.

Looking ahead, gold traders will monitor the US CPI inflation data on Tuesday. Later this week, US Retail Sales will be due on Thursday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) January will be released on Friday. Market players will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the gold price. 

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2025.51
Today Daily Change 0.36
Today Daily Change % 0.02
Today daily open 2025.15
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2029.47
Daily SMA50 2033.19
Daily SMA100 1989.78
Daily SMA200 1966.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2037.28
Previous Daily Low 2020.35
Previous Weekly High 2044.63
Previous Weekly Low 2014.92
Previous Monthly High 2079.01
Previous Monthly Low 2001.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2026.82
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2030.81
Daily Pivot Point S1 2017.91
Daily Pivot Point S2 2010.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 2000.98
Daily Pivot Point R1 2034.84
Daily Pivot Point R2 2044.52
Daily Pivot Point R3 2051.77

 

 

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