Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises to $1,793 after US data, neutral for the week

Gold rebounds from weekly lows after being able to hold above $1,770.
Wall Street indices drop more than 1% on Friday, adding to weekly losses.
US data: Preliminary November S&P Global PMI below expectations.

Matías Salord FXStreet

Gold price rebounded further from weekly lows following the release of the US S&P Global PMI report, hitting a fresh daily high at $1,793. It is about to end the week at the same level it had seven days ago.

Moving away from $1,770

XAUD/USD broke above $1,785 after the release of the US S&P Global PMI report that came in below expectations. According to the preliminary report, in December the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell from 47.7 to 46.2, against market consensus of 47.7. The S&P Global Services PMI fell unexpectedly from 46.2 in November to 44.4 in December.

The economic numbers weighed on the US Dollar that pulled back across the board momentarily. The decline in equity prices in Wall Street limited the downside for the greenback.

The $1,800 area still critical

As of writing, XAU/USD is hovering around $1,790 around the same level it had a week ago. Gold price managed to remain above the key short-term support of $1,770 on Friday.

The weekly chart shows Gold price unable to post a close above $1,800. Technical indicators are starting to favor a correction in the short term. It the yellow metal manages to firmly break $1,800 with a confirmation close, it would suggest more gains ahead toward $1,860 initially and then an approximation to $1,900.

XAU/USD weekly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1790.01
Today Daily Change	12.98
Today Daily Change %	0.73
Today daily open	1777.03

Trends
Daily SMA20	1771.73
Daily SMA50	1717.41
Daily SMA100	1720.46
Daily SMA200	1788.09

Levels
Previous Daily High	1808.7
Previous Daily Low	1773.83
Previous Weekly High	1810.12
Previous Weekly Low	1765.89
Previous Monthly High	1786.55
Previous Monthly Low	1616.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1787.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1795.38
Daily Pivot Point S1	1764.34
Daily Pivot Point S2	1751.65
Daily Pivot Point S3	1729.47
Daily Pivot Point R1	1799.21
Daily Pivot Point R2	1821.39
Daily Pivot Point R3	1834.08

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold traders seem noncommittal below $4,350; eyes Fed rate decision

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below $4,350. The US Dollar eases from a two-week high amid some profit-taking, offering support to the commodity. Traders, however, seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and opt to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk.

Cardano's bearish breakout warns of a 15% downside risk

Cardano (ADA) hovers around $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday after a 6% decline the previous day, breaking below a crucial support level. Declining on-chain activity across the Cardano ecosystem, with reduced transaction count and Real Economic Value (REV), suggests waning user demand.

Fed decision in focus

Starting with the most important, the Fed decision. Heading into the event, data showed a rather punchy US August jobs report, which, you will likely recall, triggered a hawkish Fed rate repricing in rates markets. However, the recent US August CPI print mattered more.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.