Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retreats from above $1,800


  • The US Producer Price Index eased in November,  but it was not enough.
  • Market participants await the US Federal Reserve monetary policy decision next week.
  • The XAU/USD pair maintains its bullish potential intact, despite the lack of follow-through.

Spot gold jumped to $1,804.43 ahead of the US opening but quickly retreated to currently trade at around $1,797 a troy ounce.  The American Dollar remains on the back foot despite a dismal market mood, as the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) failed to impress. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation at wholesale levels rose at an annual pace of 7.4% in November, meeting market expectations. However, the core reading, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up by 6.2%, below the previous 6.7%, but above the 6% expected.

Demand for the US Dollar is limited ahead of the critical US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision next week. The central bank may slow the pace of tightening and hike by 50 bps before pausing, ending the most aggressive cycle of its history. Nevertheless, speculative interest still sees a modest chance of another 75 bps hike amid resilient economic data.

XAU/USD technical perspective

XAU/USD trimmed its early weekly losses, and trades flat when compared to Monday’s opening. Still, it managed to post a higher low and a higher high, maintaining the bullish potential intact. The bright metal, however, is still unable to clear the psychological resistance at $1,800. Once above it, gold has the path clear towards the $1,850 price zone. A near-term support level comes at $1.780, while stronger buying interest is aligned at around $1,765.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1795.01
Today Daily Change 6.41
Today Daily Change % 0.36
Today daily open 1788.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1765.93
Daily SMA50 1708.32
Daily SMA100 1717.31
Daily SMA200 1792.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1794.93
Previous Daily Low 1781.44
Previous Weekly High 1804.52
Previous Weekly Low 1739.72
Previous Monthly High 1786.55
Previous Monthly Low 1616.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1789.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1786.59
Daily Pivot Point S1 1781.72
Daily Pivot Point S2 1774.83
Daily Pivot Point S3 1768.23
Daily Pivot Point R1 1795.21
Daily Pivot Point R2 1801.81
Daily Pivot Point R3 1808.7

 

 

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