Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends gains above $1,980 despite solid US activity backs hawkish Fed bets


  • Gold price has stretched its recovery above $1,980.00 despite bets supportive of more rate hikes from the Fed.
  • The US Preliminary Manufacturing PMI figure landed above 50.0 for the first time in the past six months.
  • Gold price is struggling to defend the cushion from the lower portion of a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Gold price (XAU/USD) showed a recovery move from near the crucial support of $1,970.00 and has stretched its recovery above $1,980.00 in the early Asian session. The precious metal has rebounded after a sheer sell-off despite solid preliminary United States S&P PMI data released on Friday.

S&P500 ended mild positive on Friday as significant movements remained stock-specific due to the quarterly result season, portraying a quiet market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has remained topsy-turvy, ranging in a tight boundary of 101.63-102.14 for the past four trading sessions. Meanwhile, the demand for US government bonds trimmed further as bets for one more rate hike remain solid. This has led to a further jump in US Treasury yields. The yields offered on 10-year US bonds jumped to near 3.57%.

On Friday, the preliminary S&P Manufacturing data jumped to 50.4 from the consensus of 49.0 and the former release of 49.2. The figure landed above 50.0 for the first time in the past six months. A recovery in manufacturing activities in spite of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and tight credit conditions from US commercial banks supports further policy tightening. This also hints that demand for labor will remain extremely tight.

In addition, preliminary Services PMI jumped to 53.7 from the estimates of 51.5 and the former release of 52.6. An all-around strength in the US economic activities is backing the need for more rate hikes from the Fed.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is struggling to defend the cushion from the lower portion of a Rising Channel chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. The precious metal has shifted below the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,991.20, which indicates that the long-term trend has turned bearish. A slippage below the immediate support plotted from April 19 low at $1,969.26 will expose the asset to a fresh downside.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted its oscillation range into the 20.00-60.00 range indicating a bearish range shift.

Gold two-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1982.82
Today Daily Change -0.20
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1983.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1994.67
Daily SMA50 1919.91
Daily SMA100 1887.1
Daily SMA200 1800.37
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2005.58
Previous Daily Low 1971.62
Previous Weekly High 2015.13
Previous Weekly Low 1969.26
Previous Monthly High 2009.88
Previous Monthly Low 1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1984.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1992.61
Daily Pivot Point S1 1967.9
Daily Pivot Point S2 1952.78
Daily Pivot Point S3 1933.94
Daily Pivot Point R1 2001.86
Daily Pivot Point R2 2020.7
Daily Pivot Point R3 2035.82

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.0760

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.0760

The sudden bout of strength in the Greenback sponsored the resurgence of the selling pressure in the risk complex, dragging EUR/USD to the area of daily lows near 1.0760.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD comes under pressure and challenges 1.2500

GBP/USD comes under pressure and challenges 1.2500

GBP/USD now rapidly loses momentum and gives away initial gains, returning to the 1.2500 region on the back of the strong comeback of the US Dollar.

GBP/USD News

Gold retreats from highs on stronger Dollar, yields

Gold retreats from highs on stronger Dollar, yields

XAU/USD trims part of its initial advance in response to the jump in the Dollar's buying interest and the re-emergence of the upside pressure in US yields.

Gold News

XRP tests support at $0.50 as Ripple joins alliance to work on blockchain recovery

XRP tests support at $0.50 as Ripple joins alliance to work on blockchain recovery

XRP trades around $0.5174 early on Friday, wiping out gains from earlier in the week, as Ripple announced it has joined an alliance to support digital asset recovery alongside Hedera and the Algorand Foundation. 

Read more

Week ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Week ahead – US inflation numbers to shake Fed rate cut bets

Fed rate-cut speculators rest hopes on US inflation data. After dovish BoE, pound traders turn to UK job numbers. Will a strong labor market convince the RBA to hike? More Chinese data on tap amid signs of slow Q2 start.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures