Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends gains above $1,980 despite solid US activity backs hawkish Fed bets

Gold price has stretched its recovery above $1,980.00 despite bets supportive of more rate hikes from the Fed.
The US Preliminary Manufacturing PMI figure landed above 50.0 for the first time in the past six months.
Gold price is struggling to defend the cushion from the lower portion of a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

Gold price (XAU/USD) showed a recovery move from near the crucial support of $1,970.00 and has stretched its recovery above $1,980.00 in the early Asian session. The precious metal has rebounded after a sheer sell-off despite solid preliminary United States S&P PMI data released on Friday.

S&P500 ended mild positive on Friday as significant movements remained stock-specific due to the quarterly result season, portraying a quiet market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has remained topsy-turvy, ranging in a tight boundary of 101.63-102.14 for the past four trading sessions. Meanwhile, the demand for US government bonds trimmed further as bets for one more rate hike remain solid. This has led to a further jump in US Treasury yields. The yields offered on 10-year US bonds jumped to near 3.57%.

On Friday, the preliminary S&P Manufacturing data jumped to 50.4 from the consensus of 49.0 and the former release of 49.2. The figure landed above 50.0 for the first time in the past six months. A recovery in manufacturing activities in spite of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and tight credit conditions from US commercial banks supports further policy tightening. This also hints that demand for labor will remain extremely tight.

In addition, preliminary Services PMI jumped to 53.7 from the estimates of 51.5 and the former release of 52.6. An all-around strength in the US economic activities is backing the need for more rate hikes from the Fed.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is struggling to defend the cushion from the lower portion of a Rising Channel chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. The precious metal has shifted below the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,991.20, which indicates that the long-term trend has turned bearish. A slippage below the immediate support plotted from April 19 low at $1,969.26 will expose the asset to a fresh downside.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted its oscillation range into the 20.00-60.00 range indicating a bearish range shift.

Gold two-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1982.82
Today Daily Change	-0.20
Today Daily Change %	-0.01
Today daily open	1983.02

Trends
Daily SMA20	1994.67
Daily SMA50	1919.91
Daily SMA100	1887.1
Daily SMA200	1800.37

Levels
Previous Daily High	2005.58
Previous Daily Low	1971.62
Previous Weekly High	2015.13
Previous Weekly Low	1969.26
Previous Monthly High	2009.88
Previous Monthly Low	1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1984.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1992.61
Daily Pivot Point S1	1967.9
Daily Pivot Point S2	1952.78
Daily Pivot Point S3	1933.94
Daily Pivot Point R1	2001.86
Daily Pivot Point R2	2020.7
Daily Pivot Point R3	2035.82

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

GBP/USD trims gains; back to 1.3450-ish

The persistent weakness hurting the Greenback lends support to the British Pound and the rest of the risk-linked assets, sending GBP/USD to new two-day tops past 1.3480 on Wednesday. Indeed, Cable advances for the second day in a row helped by the constant optimism around a potential US-Iran deal.

EUR/USD clings to gains near 1.1550

EUR/USD builds on Tuesday’s advance and confronts the area of multi-week highs in the 1.1550-1.1560 band on Wednesday. The continuation of the pair’s recovery comes once again on the back of the renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar, always in response to diminishing geopolitical tensions.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum advance while XRP lags amid US-Iran deal optimism

Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near $64,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, buoyed by a marginal improvement in crypto sentiment amid growing optimism that the United States (US) and Iran could potentially reach an agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz this week. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bullish outlook, trading toward $1,900.

Taking out the lines in the sand

Good Day... And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! Well, just as I suspected, my beloved Cardinals' bats went silent last night in the Bronx, and they lost 0-2... The Yankees' bats were exactly a murderer's row, but they hit 2 homers and won. I said yesterday that the song : Just Once In My Life, could be the Cardinals' song after hitting 5 home runs the previous night!

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.