Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bears taking on the bulls towards critical hourly support


  • Gold is correcting back towards the W-formation's neckline which would be expected to hold the initial tests.
  • Bulls could be encouraged to move in to target the prior resistance near $1,870. 

The price of gold is under a little bit of pressure in Asia as the US dollar attempts to stabilise. At $1,851.94, the gold price is down 0.07% and is sticking to a range of between 41,851.63/$1,854.43 so far. The US dollar, as measured by the DXY index,  edged lower following the Federal Reserve minutes that failed to send a message that large rate hikes were being considered. Therefore, the move lower in the greenback was making bullion less expensive for buyers holding other currencies and limiting losses. 

''Gold struggled to find a bid amid the weak economic backdrop,'' analysts at ANZ Bank said in a note on Thursday. ''Gold was under pressure from the opening of the session as the USD gained but pared some of those losses after Federal Reserve minutes showed little appetite for more aggressive rate hikes. Fed officials agreed the bank needed to tighten in half-point steps over the next couple of meetings.''

Gold technical analysis

In the New York session analysis, below, it is seen that the price had moved in on the support in a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement:

It was stated that ''the lower time frames can be monitored for signs of a deceleration of the bearish correction.''

Gold, H1 charts

This chart, from the New York session, shows the bulls were moving in to slow down the correction on the daily chart. 

Gold live market

As we can see here, the bulls had been moving in but the price is correcting back towards the W-formation's neckline, as forecasted in the previous analysis above. The neckline would be expected to hold the initial tests and on repeated failures to break below, then bulls will more than likely be encouraged to move in to target the prior resistance near $1,870. 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD stalls ahead of Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision

AUD/USD stalls ahead of Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision

The Australian Dollar registered minuscule gains compared to the US Dollar as traders braced for the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy meeting. A scarce economic docket in the United States and a bank holiday in the UK were the main drivers behind the “anemic” AUD/USD price action. The pair trades around 0.6624.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD propped up near 1.0750 ahead of European Retail Sales

EUR/USD propped up near 1.0750 ahead of European Retail Sales

EUR/USD churned around 1.0770 to kick off the new trading week, with the pair rising after better-than-expected Purchasing Managers Index figures early Monday before settling into familiar chart territory above 1.0750 ahead of Tuesday’s pan-European Retail Sales figures.

EUR/USD News

Gold rises as US job slowdown dampens Treasury yields

Gold rises as US job slowdown dampens Treasury yields

Gold price rallied close to 1% on Monday, late in the North American session, bolstered by an improvement in risk appetite due to increased bets that the US Federal Reserve might begin to ease policy sooner than foreseen. The XAU/USD trades at around $2,320 after bouncing off daily lows of $2,291. 

Gold News

Ethereum traders show uncertainty following huge whale sale, Robinhood Crypto Wells notice

Ethereum traders show uncertainty following huge whale sale, Robinhood Crypto Wells notice

Ethereum holdings on centralized exchanges continue to decline despite recent whale sales. With Robinhood Crypto as the latest recipient of the SEC's Wells notice, Ethereum spot ETFs look more unlikely.

Read more

RBA expected to leave key interest rate on hold as inflation lingers

RBA expected to leave key interest rate on hold as inflation lingers

Interest rate in Australia will likely stay unchanged at 4.35%. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock to keep her options open. Australian Dollar bullish case to be supported by a hawkish RBA.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures