|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bounces off $1,943 immediate support confluence

  • Gold prices print mild gains after stepping back from one-week high the previous day.
  • 50-HMA, ascending trend line from Tuesday restricts immediate downside.
  • 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement guards immediate upside ahead of the weekly top.

Gold rises to $1,949, up 0.18% on a day, amid the initial hour of Tokyo open on Friday. In doing so, the yellow metal recovers Thursday’s losses while stepping back from a short-term key support confluence near $1,943.

With the normal RSI conditions favoring the bullion’s bounce, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of September 01-08 fall, around $1,960, is likely luring the intraday buyers before the previous day’s peak, also the weekly top, surrounding $1,966/67.

During the quote’s sustained run-up past-$1,967, bulls will have to cross $1,971 and $1,974 intermediate halts before challenging the monthly high of $1,992.42.

Meanwhile, a downside break of $1,943, will be questioned by the 100-HMA level of $1,936.

Given the commodity’s sustained weakness past-$1,936, sellers can refresh the monthly low $1,906 with the $1,900 threshold on the radar.

Gold hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1948.99
Today Daily Change3.67
Today Daily Change %0.19%
Today daily open1945.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA201947.59
Daily SMA501916.35
Daily SMA1001821.95
Daily SMA2001700.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1966.54
Previous Daily Low1941.43
Previous Weekly High1992.42
Previous Weekly Low1916.42
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1951.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1956.95
Daily Pivot Point S11935.65
Daily Pivot Point S21925.99
Daily Pivot Point S31910.54
Daily Pivot Point R11960.76
Daily Pivot Point R21976.21
Daily Pivot Point R31985.87

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).