Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bears aim for August low under $1,900


  • Gold stays heavy for third consecutive day, eyes Monday’s low of $1,882.34 as immediate support.
  • US dollar stays bullish while refreshing the highest levels since July 27.
  • American Congress avoids government shutdown in October, virus woes continue with fresh cluster in Brooklyn.
  • Global PMIs are in focus given the central bankers’ readiness for more.

Gold takes offers near $1,887.37, down 0.68% on a day, ahead of Wednesday’s European session. In doing so, the bullion seesaws near the intraday low near $1,882 while also battling the weekly low near the same level. Given the US dollar’s sustained run-up for the fourth consecutive day, to the fresh two-month high, bears are in command.

The coronavirus (COVID-19) cluster in Brooklyn can be cited as favoring the greenback’s strength. Though, the US dollar index (DXY) takes major strength from the American policymakers’ joint efforts over the stopgap funding to avoid a government shutdown as the present bill expires on September 30.

While the USD’s inverse correlation hits the yellow metal, the mixed performance of Asian stocks and the US stock futures also fails to direct the funds to the precious metals. Furthermore, COVID-19 woes at the world’s biggest gold consumers, namely India and China, dampen the sentiment of any recovery in physical demand.

On Tuesday, Wall Street cheered upbeat US data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s measured comments. Though, the Sino-American tension, as inferred through the United Nations (UN) General Assembly, kept challenging the risk reset, which in turn propelled the greenback.

Moving on, gold traders are waiting for preliminary readings of September month PMIs from the UK, Europe and the US for fresh impetus. However, the US dollar’s sustained strength can keep the sellers on board.

Technical analysis

Gold’s failures to bounce back beyond the seven-week-old resistance line, at $1,930 now, joins bearish MACD to direct the sellers towards August month’s low of $1,863.74. Though, a clear break below the weekly low of $1,882.34 becomes necessary. On the contrary, $1,960 could lure the bulls beyond the aforementioned resistance line, previous support.

Gold four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1887.9
Today Daily Change -12.27
Today Daily Change % -0.65%
Today daily open 1900.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1943.11
Daily SMA50 1939.07
Daily SMA100 1840.53
Daily SMA200 1719.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1920.04
Previous Daily Low 1894.79
Previous Weekly High 1973.64
Previous Weekly Low 1932.88
Previous Monthly High 2075.32
Previous Monthly Low 1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1904.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1910.39
Daily Pivot Point S1 1889.96
Daily Pivot Point S2 1879.75
Daily Pivot Point S3 1864.71
Daily Pivot Point R1 1915.21
Daily Pivot Point R2 1930.25
Daily Pivot Point R3 1940.46

 

 

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